Headline moves | BOH Securities

Did they rhyme?

Each logged move is checked at the longest horizon it has reached: did it go the same direction as the median of its similar moments? 50% is a coin flip.

Checked at	Moves	Same direction
1 session	20	50.0%
5 sessions	18	44.4%

Wednesday Nov 4, 2026

SPY +1.6% · QQQ +1.0% · 11 headline-sized moves

DELL −8.8%

Group moveChips & AI hardware

Dell Technologies

Opened −5.8% and extended the move after the open (−3.2% open to close) on 1.6× normal volume. SPY +1.6%, QQQ +1.0%. 35% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: MU −7.0%, LRCX −4.0%, INTC −3.8%, ASML −3.6%, AMAT −3.3%. Before the move it sat −30.5% from its high, RSI 36.

Rose about 300% in 2026, then a Barclays downgrade on Oct 14 (-11.3%) over valuation and memory prices normalizing, then Intel's PC and memory warning on Oct 30 (-10.8%).

Can Dell Stock Hit $560? Trefis · Nov 5 5:36AM
Dell Technologies (DELL) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note Zacks · Nov 4 4:45PM
AI Server Backlog Could Reshape The Dell Stock Story Simply Wall St. · Nov 4 3:14PM
Super Micro Falls 4% Despite Blowout Quarter as Margin Worries and Data Center Backlash Weigh; Dell Sinks 8%, Hewlett Packard Enterprise Drops 6% 24/7 Wall St. · Nov 4 12:51PM
All in One Infrastructure - Global Strategic Business Report 2026-2032: Capitalize on a $32.5 Billion Market Led by AWS, Cisco, Dell, HPE, and Huawei GlobeNewswire · Nov 4 9:48AM

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 6 times and bounced 2 times (median −0.5%). 20 sessions later the median was +15.0% (88% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +1.9%.

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
PLTR	Apr 9 26	−7.3%	Group move	+0.7%	-32%, RSI 43	−1.9%	+9.4%	+5.0%	+7.6%
DELL	Dec 10 24	−5.7%	Group move	−0.3%	-30%, RSI 42	+1.6%	+1.3%	−1.7%	−3.4%
LRCX	Jul 28 26	−7.5%	Group move	−1.0%	-33%, RSI 38	−6.4%	+17.9%	+16.7%	+3.4%
LRCX	Sep 14 26	−8.3%	Group move	−0.8%	-31%, RSI 45	−1.0%	+10.5%	+13.3%	+2.5%
CRWD	Feb 23 26	−9.8%	Group move	−1.2%	-30%, RSI 36	−0.0%	+9.9%	+18.0%	−3.7%
MU	Mar 30 26	−9.9%	Group move	−0.8%	-23%, RSI 38	+5.0%	+17.3%	+56.7%	+12.6%
PANW	Feb 18 26	−6.8%	Stock-specific	+0.8%	-26%, RSI 38	−0.9%	−4.9%	+10.9%	−3.6%
INTC	Jul 25 25	−8.5%	Stock-specific	+0.2%	-31%, RSI 51	−0.1%	−6.7%	+19.8%	+1.3%

MU −7.0%

Group moveChips & AI hardware

Micron Technology

Opened −3.8% and extended the move after the open (−3.4% open to close) on 1.3× normal volume. SPY +1.6%, QQQ +1.0%. 35% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: DELL −8.8%, LRCX −4.0%, INTC −3.8%, ASML −3.6%, AMAT −3.3%. Before the move it sat −29.5% from its high, RSI 40.

Memory-price momentum is peaking: DRAM price gains slowed from roughly 60% a quarter to the high teens. Up about 197% in the first half of 2026 before the July 1 chip crash.

SanDisk Slides 7%, Micron and Western Digital Fall 5% as Lawmaker’s Call for AI Pause Extends Memory Rout 24/7 Wall St. · Nov 5 8:47AM
How Worried Should Investors Be About Micron Right Now? 24/7 Wall St. · Nov 5 8:45AM
Qualcomm, Micron, Sandisk and Arm Holdings stocks sink, leading chip sector lower Yahoo Finance · Nov 5 8:45AM
Could Buying Micron Stock Today Help Set You Up for Life? Motley Fool · Nov 5 7:37AM
Micron Technology And 2 AI Chip Stocks To Improve Your Portfolio Simply Wall St. · Nov 5 7:14AM
Micron Just Closed Below $800 for the First Time Since July 24/7 Wall St. · Nov 5 7:12AM

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 5 times and bounced 3 times (median −0.5%). 20 sessions later the median was +8.0% (88% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +2.9%.

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
PLTR	Apr 9 26	−7.3%	Group move	+0.7%	-32%, RSI 43	−1.9%	+9.4%	+5.0%	+7.6%
DELL	Dec 10 24	−5.7%	Group move	−0.3%	-30%, RSI 42	+1.6%	+1.3%	−1.7%	−3.4%
MU	Jul 31 26	−5.9%	Stock-specific	+0.7%	-28%, RSI 47	+0.8%	+6.6%	+13.3%	+3.0%
AMAT	Jul 28 26	−7.8%	Group move	−1.0%	-29%, RSI 43	−8.4%	+14.7%	+0.9%	+3.4%
TMO	May 14 25	−5.3%	Group move	+0.6%	-31%, RSI 47	−0.3%	−1.9%	+2.3%	+2.8%
PANW	Feb 18 26	−6.8%	Stock-specific	+0.8%	-26%, RSI 38	−0.9%	−4.9%	+10.9%	−3.6%
TXN	Apr 11 25	−5.8%	Stock-specific	+1.8%	-28%, RSI 39	+2.3%	−1.4%	+28.0%	+9.2%
AMAT	Sep 14 26	−7.1%	Group move	−0.8%	-37%, RSI 42	−0.7%	+9.4%	+17.3%	+2.5%

MSFT +6.7%

Stock-specificInformation Technology

Microsoft

Opened +4.4% and extended the move after the open (+2.2% open to close) on 2.3× normal volume. SPY +1.6%, QQQ +1.0%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: AAPL +5.3%, IBM +1.7%, PANW −0.6%, CRWD −1.5%, ORCL −1.9%. Before the move it sat −4.1% from its high, RSI 49.

Postman Private Cloud Now Available in the Microsoft Marketplace Business Wire · Nov 5 8:30AM
Dow Jones Futures Rise As Techs Fall; Apple, Microsoft, Amazon Flash Buy Signals Investor's Business Daily · Nov 5 8:13AM
The Same $10,000 in Microsoft and Meta Could Produce Very Different Results by 2030 24/7 Wall St. · Nov 5 7:47AM
Microsoft Is Executing an Irreproducible Balance-Sheet-Backed Infrastructure Pre-Sale at Scale 24/7 Wall St. · Nov 5 7:15AM

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 5 times and gave some back 3 times (median +0.5%). 20 sessions later the median was +6.9% (62% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +0.7%.

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
PLTR	Jun 6 25	+6.5%	Stock-specific	+1.0%	-10%, RSI 49	+3.4%	+7.6%	+9.4%	+3.8%
IBM	Mar 7 25	+5.2%	Stock-specific	+0.7%	-6%, RSI 47	−1.8%	−5.0%	−13.0%	−12.0%
IBM	Oct 24 25	+7.9%	Stock-specific	+1.1%	-3%, RSI 58	+1.8%	−0.0%	−2.7%	−2.7%
GS	May 20 26	+5.8%	Stock-specific	+1.7%	-4%, RSI 51	+0.6%	+2.7%	+12.1%	+1.0%
MS	Oct 15 25	+4.7%	Stock-specific	+0.7%	-4%, RSI 50	−1.6%	−2.8%	+5.1%	+2.7%
PANW	Jul 14 26	+6.8%	Stock-specific	+1.1%	-8%, RSI 60	+0.3%	−3.0%	+8.8%	+2.5%
MS	Jan 15 26	+5.8%	Stock-specific	+0.4%	-4%, RSI 52	−1.1%	−6.4%	−10.0%	−1.5%
LRCX	Dec 18 25	+6.3%	Stock-specific	+1.4%	-8%, RSI 48	+4.6%	+8.1%	+35.0%	+0.5%

HD +6.5%

Stock-specificConsumer Discretionary

Home Depot (The)

Opened +3.7% and extended the move after the open (+2.7% open to close) on 1.7× normal volume. SPY +1.6%, QQQ +1.0%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: AMZN +6.1%, TSLA −3.3%. Before the move it sat −12.8% from its high, RSI 66.

Home Depot Is Up 12% in a Week. Are Midterm Housing Hopes Really That Good? TIKR · Nov 4 10:26PM
Here’s What Democrats Taking Back the House and Senate Could Mean for Housing Stocks Like Home Depot and Lowe’s Motley Fool · Nov 4 5:00PM
Home Depot Soars 7% as Housing Stocks Rally on Midterm Election Results TIKR · Nov 4 4:17PM
Housing Policy Hopes Put Home Depot Stock Back In Focus Simply Wall St. · Nov 4 1:13PM
Home Depot sends its strongest warning yet on the housing market TheStreet · Nov 4 12:33PM
Home Depot's Margin Outlook Faces Inflationary Headwinds Zacks · Nov 4 12:33PM

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 4 times and gave some back 4 times (median +0.2%). 20 sessions later the median was +4.0% (75% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +1.2%.

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
AMZN	Apr 9 26	+5.6%	Stock-specific	+0.7%	-13%, RSI 61	+2.0%	+6.9%	+16.1%	+7.6%
TSLA	Nov 18 24	+5.6%	Stock-specific	+0.7%	-8%, RSI 65	+2.1%	−0.0%	+41.7%	+2.7%
TSLA	Dec 24 24	+7.4%	Stock-specific	+1.4%	-10%, RSI 63	−1.8%	−17.9%	−14.1%	−0.3%
AMGN	Feb 5 25	+6.5%	Stock-specific	+0.5%	-14%, RSI 68	−3.3%	−4.1%	+4.1%	−5.2%
ASML	Sep 15 25	+6.6%	Stock-specific	+0.9%	-6%, RSI 66	+1.3%	+10.4%	+13.5%	+0.6%
TSLA	Oct 6 25	+5.5%	Stock-specific	+0.8%	-10%, RSI 60	−4.5%	−3.8%	+3.3%	+1.8%
AMD	Jan 21 26	+7.7%	Stock-specific	+1.4%	-12%, RSI 62	+1.6%	+1.2%	−18.6%	−0.1%
AAPL	Aug 8 25	+4.2%	Stock-specific	+0.9%	-15%, RSI 66	−0.8%	+1.1%	+3.8%	+1.8%

AMZN +6.1%

Stock-specificConsumer Discretionary

Amazon

Opened +5.6% and extended the move after the open (+0.5% open to close) on 2.2× normal volume. SPY +1.6%, QQQ +1.0%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: HD +6.5%, TSLA −3.3%. Before the move it sat −11.7% from its high, RSI 49.

Dow Jones Futures Rise As Techs Fall; Apple, Microsoft, Amazon Flash Buy Signals Investor's Business Daily · Nov 5 8:13AM
Why Did Amazon And Google Stock Rise? Trefis · Nov 5 8:13AM
Daiwa Securities Adjusts Price Target on Amazon.com to $350 From $330 MT Newswires · Nov 5 7:47AM
Amazon and Uber Want to Bring You Your Next Meal. The Delivery Turf War Is Escalating. Barrons.com · Nov 5 7:43AM

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 5 times and gave some back 3 times (median +2.7%). 20 sessions later the median was +10.0% (75% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +1.0%.

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
MU	Aug 8 25	+6.3%	Stock-specific	+0.9%	-12%, RSI 49	+4.1%	+1.7%	+10.6%	+1.8%
PLTR	Jun 6 25	+6.5%	Stock-specific	+1.0%	-10%, RSI 49	+3.4%	+7.6%	+9.4%	+3.8%
NVDA	Jun 1 26	+6.3%	Stock-specific	+0.6%	-10%, RSI 49	−0.7%	−6.9%	−10.7%	−1.3%
AMZN	Apr 9 26	+5.6%	Stock-specific	+0.7%	-13%, RSI 61	+2.0%	+6.9%	+16.1%	+7.6%
LRCX	Dec 18 25	+6.3%	Stock-specific	+1.4%	-8%, RSI 48	+4.6%	+8.1%	+35.0%	+0.5%
DELL	Aug 3 26	+5.8%	Stock-specific	+1.8%	-13%, RSI 50	+8.9%	+6.7%	+6.3%	+1.2%
AMD	Jul 6 26	+6.6%	Stock-specific	+1.4%	-11%, RSI 52	−6.5%	−3.2%	−12.2%	+0.8%
AVGO	Dec 6 24	+5.3%	Stock-specific	+0.9%	-8%, RSI 52	−0.3%	+25.2%	+27.7%	−2.8%

AAPL +5.3%

Stock-specificInformation Technology

Apple Inc.

Opened +2.9% and extended the move after the open (+2.3% open to close) on 2.0× normal volume. SPY +1.6%, QQQ +1.0%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: MSFT +6.7%, IBM +1.7%, PANW −0.6%, CRWD −1.5%, ORCL −1.9%. Before the move it sat −4.9% from its high, RSI 42.

Market Chatter: Apple Launches Seven-Part US Dollar High-Grade Bond Offering MT Newswires · Nov 5 8:35AM
Dow Jones Futures Rise As Techs Fall; Apple, Microsoft, Amazon Flash Buy Signals Investor's Business Daily · Nov 5 8:13AM
The Open Question Under Apple Stock's Price Trefis · Nov 5 7:32AM
Jim Cramer’s Surprise Midterm Winner: Apple, Because Fewer Data Centers Could Mean Cheaper Memory 24/7 Wall St. · Nov 5 7:19AM
Apple Vs. Tesla: Low CapEx Only Matters if Non-Cyclical Cash Flows Come With It 24/7 Wall St. · Nov 5 7:15AM
Jim Cramer sends clear signal on Apple and Palantir stock TheStreet · Nov 5 7:03AM

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 2 times and gave some back 6 times (median −0.3%). 20 sessions later the median was +4.1% (62% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was −1.4%.

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
IBM	Mar 7 25	+5.2%	Stock-specific	+0.7%	-6%, RSI 47	−1.8%	−5.0%	−13.0%	−12.0%
AAPL	Feb 2 26	+4.1%	Stock-specific	+0.7%	-9%, RSI 48	−0.2%	+1.8%	−2.2%	−2.2%
BAC	Oct 15 25	+4.4%	Stock-specific	+0.7%	-4%, RSI 49	−3.5%	−2.3%	+3.5%	+2.7%
PLTR	Jun 6 25	+6.5%	Stock-specific	+1.0%	-10%, RSI 49	+3.4%	+7.6%	+9.4%	+3.8%
CRWD	Oct 8 25	+5.2%	Stock-specific	+1.1%	-6%, RSI 57	−0.2%	−4.1%	+4.7%	+0.7%
IBM	Jan 29 26	+5.1%	Stock-specific	−0.6%	-7%, RSI 46	−0.8%	−6.3%	−21.9%	−1.2%
CAT	Jun 2 26	+5.1%	Stock-specific	+0.5%	-7%, RSI 50	+1.8%	+0.5%	+9.0%	−1.6%
AVGO	Dec 6 24	+5.3%	Stock-specific	+0.9%	-8%, RSI 52	−0.3%	+25.2%	+27.7%	−2.8%

CAT −5.2%

Stock-specificIndustrials

Caterpillar Inc.

Opened −2.3% and extended the move after the open (−3.0% open to close) on 1.7× normal volume. SPY +1.6%, QQQ +1.0%. 35% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: RTX −2.6%, GE +2.7%. Before the move it sat −41.2% from its high, RSI 26.

Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) Sells Goldman Sachs, Caterpillar on Nov. 3 GuruFocus.com · Nov 5 6:05AM
ETFs Are Net Sellers of Caterpillar (CAT) on Tuesday GuruFocus.com · Nov 5 6:02AM
Caterpillar Stocks Decline 4.45% as $78.1 Billion Backlog Meets Capacity Constraints GuruFocus.com · Nov 4 1:21PM
Caterpillar Sinks 6% as Democrats Win Congress: “Caught Up in This AI Trade” TIKR · Nov 4 11:45AM
CAT Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Record Backlog and Capacity Push Zacks · Nov 4 9:00AM
ETFs Are Net Sellers of Caterpillar (CAT) on Monday GuruFocus.com · Nov 4 6:03AM

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 5 times and bounced 3 times (median −0.9%). 20 sessions later the median was +0.7% (62% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +0.6%.

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
ORCL	Nov 21 25	−5.7%	Stock-specific	+0.8%	-36%, RSI 28	+0.8%	+1.1%	−0.2%	+4.2%
PLTR	Jun 25 26	−5.5%	Group move	+0.8%	-45%, RSI 31	+5.3%	+20.5%	+14.6%	+0.6%
NFLX	Jun 22 26	−5.8%	Group move	−0.2%	-42%, RSI 28	−0.1%	+1.2%	−5.8%	+0.5%
ORCL	Feb 20 26	−5.4%	Stock-specific	+0.9%	-52%, RSI 42	−4.6%	−1.8%	+1.1%	−5.7%
ORCL	Dec 17 25	−5.4%	Stock-specific	−1.9%	-42%, RSI 33	+0.9%	+10.7%	+7.4%	+3.3%
AMD	Feb 5 25	−6.3%	Stock-specific	+0.5%	-43%, RSI 47	−1.6%	−0.3%	−11.8%	−5.2%
UNH	May 21 25	−5.8%	Stock-specific	−1.4%	-48%, RSI 31	−2.1%	−1.6%	+0.4%	+2.3%
ORCL	Feb 4 26	−5.2%	Stock-specific	−1.8%	-53%, RSI 27	−7.0%	+7.2%	+5.5%	−0.7%

XOM −4.6%

Group moveEnergy

ExxonMobil

Opened −1.8% and extended the move after the open (−2.9% open to close) on 2.1× normal volume. SPY +1.6%, QQQ +1.0%. 35% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: CVX −3.7%. Before the move it sat −5.2% from its high, RSI 53.

XOM Stock Is Up 43% In 2026: Wall Street Is Split On The Oil Major Following Q3 Results Stocktwits · Nov 4 11:23PM
ExxonMobil Stocks Decline 3.43% as Cash Generation Exceeds Shareholder Payments GuruFocus.com · Nov 4 1:25PM
Will ExxonMobil's 100,000-BPD Diesel Expansion Boost Refining Profit? Zacks · Nov 4 10:29AM

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 3 times and bounced 5 times (median +0.1%). 20 sessions later the median was −0.8% (38% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +1.2%.

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
CVX	Jan 31 25	−4.6%	Group move	−0.1%	-4%, RSI 56	+0.1%	+2.3%	+3.8%	−3.0%
AMGN	Aug 6 25	−5.1%	Group move	+1.3%	-9%, RSI 53	+0.0%	+1.6%	−0.8%	+2.6%
JPM	Sep 22 26	−3.4%	Group move	+0.8%	-4%, RSI 48	−0.7%	−1.5%	−0.9%	−0.6%
CSCO	Aug 15 25	−4.5%	Group move	−0.4%	-3%, RSI 53	+1.1%	+1.7%	+1.2%	+2.7%
ABBV	Oct 31 25	−4.5%	Stock-specific	+0.5%	-6%, RSI 54	−2.8%	+0.5%	+3.2%	−0.3%
CVX	Apr 8 26	−4.3%	Group move	+3.0%	-5%, RSI 57	−1.3%	−4.1%	−4.0%	+8.6%
MA	Jan 13 26	−3.8%	Group move	−0.1%	-5%, RSI 49	+0.3%	−3.2%	−1.4%	−0.3%
CVX	Apr 1 26	−4.6%	Group move	+1.2%	-2%, RSI 69	+0.8%	−3.6%	−2.1%	+9.7%

JPM +4.2%

Group moveFinancials

JPMorgan Chase

Opened +2.4% and extended the move after the open (+1.8% open to close) on 1.5× normal volume. SPY +1.6%, QQQ +1.0%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: MS +4.2%, BAC +4.0%, BRK-B +4.0%, MA +3.9%, V +3.8%. Before the move it sat −7.0% from its high, RSI 50.

What Does JPMorgan Chase (JPM) Gain From Its Dubai Push And US Hires? Simply Wall St. · Nov 4 5:13PM
JPMorgan Trading Desk Sees Tech Rebounding After Midterms Bloomberg · Nov 4 9:45AM
How Will Automation and Kinexys Drive JPMorgan's Payments Growth? Zacks · Nov 4 7:59AM
Market Chatter: HSBC, JPMorgan Aim to Facilitate Deals in Development Finance Sector MT Newswires · Nov 4 5:39AM
ETF League Tables: JPMorgan ETFs Register Inflows etf.com · Nov 3 6:46PM
JPMorganChase Files Form 10-Q for the Quarter Ended September 30, 2026 Business Wire · Nov 3 4:25PM

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 5 times and gave some back 3 times (median +0.5%). 20 sessions later the median was +1.9% (62% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +0.8%.

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
GS	Oct 24 25	+4.4%	Group move	+1.1%	-7%, RSI 42	+0.8%	+0.7%	−1.3%	−2.7%
BAC	Oct 15 25	+4.4%	Stock-specific	+0.7%	-4%, RSI 49	−3.5%	−2.3%	+3.5%	+2.7%
TXN	Jun 2 26	+5.1%	Group move	+0.5%	-10%, RSI 53	+0.1%	−6.3%	−3.1%	−1.6%
PLTR	Jan 22 25	+5.2%	Group move	+1.3%	-11%, RSI 54	+2.7%	+3.8%	+38.2%	+0.7%
CRWD	Sep 3 26	+5.7%	Group move	+1.2%	-12%, RSI 49	−0.9%	−3.8%	+25.6%	−0.2%
HD	Aug 22 25	+3.8%	Group move	+1.5%	-7%, RSI 59	−0.9%	−1.5%	+0.4%	+3.6%
ASML	May 20 26	+6.2%	Group move	+1.7%	-8%, RSI 49	+2.7%	+3.6%	+24.5%	+1.0%
AMD	Jul 9 26	+5.7%	Group move	+1.7%	-11%, RSI 51	+2.0%	−8.4%	−10.5%	+2.2%

BRK-B +4.0%

Group moveFinancials

Berkshire Hathaway

Opened +1.7% and extended the move after the open (+2.3% open to close) on 1.5× normal volume. SPY +1.6%, QQQ +1.0%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: MS +4.2%, JPM +4.2%, BAC +4.0%, MA +3.9%, V +3.8%. Before the move it sat +0.0% from its high, RSI 75.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 5 times and gave some back 3 times (median +0.3%). 20 sessions later the median was +1.5% (62% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +1.3%.

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
AMD	Apr 30 26	+5.2%	Group move	+0.9%	-3%, RSI 76	+1.7%	+15.2%	+45.6%	+5.3%
MRK	Nov 25 25	+5.2%	Group move	+0.6%	0%, RSI 78	−1.0%	−3.2%	+1.6%	+2.6%
CSCO	Jun 2 26	+5.5%	Group move	+0.5%	0%, RSI 76	−1.2%	−6.0%	−8.6%	−1.6%
ABBV	Oct 1 25	+5.5%	Group move	+0.5%	0%, RSI 77	−3.2%	−5.4%	−7.2%	+2.8%
MU	Jan 27 26	+5.4%	Group move	+0.9%	-3%, RSI 73	+6.1%	+2.2%	+4.6%	−0.3%
TSLA	Dec 6 24	+5.3%	Group move	+0.9%	0%, RSI 69	+0.1%	+12.1%	+1.3%	−2.8%
ASML	Sep 18 25	+6.4%	Group move	+0.9%	-1%, RSI 74	+0.5%	+2.3%	+9.9%	+0.0%
ABBV	Sep 30 25	+3.8%	Group move	+0.3%	0%, RSI 68	+5.5%	+0.6%	−1.0%	+3.1%

V +3.8%

Group moveFinancials

Visa Inc.

Opened +1.7% and extended the move after the open (+2.1% open to close) on 1.5× normal volume. SPY +1.6%, QQQ +1.0%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: MS +4.2%, JPM +4.2%, BAC +4.0%, BRK-B +4.0%, MA +3.9%. Before the move it sat −1.2% from its high, RSI 69.

Visa Just Raised Its Dividend 16%. Is It a Better Buy Than Mastercard? 24/7 Wall St. · Nov 5 8:17AM
Does AI Truly Understand What Shoppers Want? Visa Put It To The Test. Sourcing Journal · Nov 5 8:00AM
Visa sees US holiday retail sales growing 4.5%, fastest pace since 2021 Reuters · Nov 5 7:56AM
Visa Got Downgraded to Hold at $427 After a 18% Month. Here’s What Its P/E Assumes TIKR · Nov 5 7:11AM
Visa Forecasts U.S. Holiday Spending to Rise 4.5% as Consumers Keep the Holidays a Priority Business Wire · Nov 5 7:00AM
HSBC Adjusts Price Target on Visa to $465 From $375 MT Newswires · Nov 5 6:04AM

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 4 times and gave some back 4 times (median −0.0%). 20 sessions later the median was +3.0% (62% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +2.0%.

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
ABBV	Sep 11 25	+4.0%	Group move	+0.6%	-1%, RSI 66	−0.8%	+0.8%	+4.8%	+2.3%
TSLA	Dec 6 24	+5.3%	Group move	+0.9%	0%, RSI 69	+0.1%	+12.1%	+1.3%	−2.8%
ABBV	Sep 30 25	+3.8%	Group move	+0.3%	0%, RSI 68	+5.5%	+0.6%	−1.0%	+3.1%
MU	Jan 27 26	+5.4%	Group move	+0.9%	-3%, RSI 73	+6.1%	+2.2%	+4.6%	−0.3%
MU	Jan 9 26	+5.5%	Group move	+1.0%	-5%, RSI 68	+0.2%	+5.1%	+11.1%	−0.0%
RTX	Jan 21 25	+3.8%	Group move	+0.6%	-4%, RSI 63	−1.1%	+2.1%	−0.3%	+1.6%
DELL	Oct 1 25	+5.6%	Group move	+0.5%	-0%, RSI 68	−1.5%	+9.9%	+9.7%	+2.8%
WMT	Aug 6 25	+4.1%	Group move	+1.3%	-5%, RSI 63	−0.2%	−2.3%	−2.1%	+2.6%

Tuesday Nov 3, 2026

SPY +0.3% · QQQ +0.6% · 1 headline-sized move

ORCL +5.8%

Stock-specificInformation Technology

Oracle Corporation

Opened +2.3% and extended the move after the open (+3.4% open to close) on 2.5× normal volume. SPY +0.3%, QQQ +0.6%. 51% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: MSFT +2.7%, CRWD +1.2%, PANW −0.4%, IBM −1.0%, PLTR −1.6%. Before the move it sat −54.0% from its high, RSI 38.

Its own story: a debt-funded AI data-center buildout. About $130B of debt, fiscal-2026 free cash flow of -$23.7B, a planned $40B raise including $20B of stock, heavy reliance on OpenAI, and record default-insurance costs.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 5 times and gave some back 3 times (median +2.5%). 20 sessions later the median was −8.1% (25% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +0.8%.

Since then: −1.9% after 1 session. Not rhyming at 1 session (actual −1.9% vs lookalikes +2.5%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
ORCL	May 1 26	+6.5%	Stock-specific	+1.0%	-50%, RSI 49	+4.9%	+14.0%	+44.4%	+5.3%
ORCL	Aug 12 26	+5.4%	Stock-specific	+0.7%	-55%, RSI 54	+1.9%	−6.2%	−0.2%	−1.9%
ORCL	Sep 17 26	+5.2%	Stock-specific	+1.7%	-56%, RSI 46	−2.0%	−7.3%	−10.4%	+1.5%
ORCL	Mar 11 26	+9.2%	Stock-specific	−0.0%	-54%, RSI 43	−2.4%	−6.3%	−15.2%	+0.8%
TSLA	Mar 21 25	+5.3%	Stock-specific	+0.3%	-51%, RSI 34	+11.9%	+6.0%	−8.5%	−8.9%
ORCL	Dec 19 25	+6.6%	Stock-specific	+1.3%	-45%, RSI 30	+3.3%	+1.8%	−9.2%	+0.7%
ORCL	Sep 3 26	+5.7%	Group move	+1.2%	-55%, RSI 51	+3.1%	−2.4%	−7.6%	−0.2%
PLTR	Apr 7 25	+5.2%	Stock-specific	+0.2%	-41%, RSI 37	−0.7%	+19.0%	+39.9%	+10.8%

Monday Nov 2, 2026

SPY −0.5% · QQQ −1.4% · 5 headline-sized moves

INTC −8.8%

Group moveChips & AI hardware

Intel

Opened −0.6% and extended the move after the open (−8.3% open to close) on 2.0× normal volume. SPY −0.5%, QQQ −1.4%. 61% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: AMD −7.5%, DELL −7.4%, MU −5.8%, LRCX −4.8%, AMAT −4.0%. Before the move it sat −53.3% from its high, RSI 25.

Q4 revenue guide of $15-16B vs $17.1B expected, weak PC demand and a plant accident in Israel. Fell 28.6% on Oct 30, its worst day since 1974, and dragged the whole chip group down that day.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 4 times and bounced 4 times (median +0.8%). 20 sessions later the median was +12.4% (88% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +2.7%.

Since then: −2.8% after 2 sessions. Rhyming at 1 session (actual +1.0% vs lookalikes +0.8%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
AMD	Apr 8 25	−6.5%	Group move	−1.8%	-55%, RSI 26	+23.8%	+21.8%	+28.3%	+13.0%
ORCL	Feb 5 26	−7.0%	Group move	−1.4%	-55%, RSI 24	+4.7%	+14.7%	+12.1%	−0.8%
ORCL	Jul 13 26	−6.5%	Stock-specific	−1.9%	-57%, RSI 31	−2.7%	−7.7%	+14.8%	+3.2%
UNH	May 21 25	−5.8%	Stock-specific	−1.4%	-48%, RSI 31	−2.1%	−1.6%	+0.4%	+2.3%
ORCL	Jul 16 26	−6.2%	Stock-specific	−1.6%	-59%, RSI 31	+1.8%	−3.4%	+25.8%	+3.6%
TSLA	Mar 18 25	−5.3%	Stock-specific	−1.7%	-50%, RSI 32	+4.7%	+27.9%	+12.8%	−3.9%
NFLX	Jun 22 26	−5.8%	Group move	−0.2%	-42%, RSI 28	−0.1%	+1.2%	−5.8%	+0.5%
INTC	Jul 28 26	−5.9%	Group move	−1.0%	-35%, RSI 37	−5.1%	+16.9%	+1.4%	+3.4%

ORCL −8.8%

Group moveInformation Technology

Oracle Corporation

Opened −3.7% and extended the move after the open (−5.3% open to close) on 1.9× normal volume. SPY −0.5%, QQQ −1.4%. 61% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: PANW −3.9%, CRWD −3.4%, PLTR −3.1%, MSFT −2.8%, IBM −2.1%. Before the move it sat −49.6% from its high, RSI 46.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 5 times and bounced 3 times (median −0.9%). 20 sessions later the median was +12.7% (88% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +3.0%.

Since then: +3.8% after 2 sessions. Not rhyming at 1 session (actual +5.8% vs lookalikes −0.9%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
NFLX	Jul 17 26	−7.3%	Group move	−1.5%	-42%, RSI 42	−2.0%	+1.6%	+13.4%	+4.5%
INTC	Apr 8 25	−7.4%	Group move	−1.8%	-49%, RSI 34	+18.8%	+9.5%	+12.0%	+13.0%
ORCL	Feb 5 26	−7.0%	Group move	−1.4%	-55%, RSI 24	+4.7%	+14.7%	+12.1%	−0.8%
ORCL	Jan 20 26	−5.8%	Market-wide	−2.1%	-42%, RSI 43	−3.4%	−2.8%	−13.2%	+1.3%
LRCX	Sep 14 26	−8.3%	Group move	−0.8%	-31%, RSI 45	−1.0%	+10.5%	+13.3%	+2.5%
INTC	Feb 25 25	−5.3%	Group move	−1.3%	-47%, RSI 59	+2.3%	−7.2%	+5.3%	−2.9%
AMD	Apr 16 25	−7.3%	Market-wide	−3.0%	-48%, RSI 47	−0.9%	+7.0%	+30.2%	+12.3%
MU	Jul 28 26	−8.8%	Group move	−1.0%	-26%, RSI 46	−9.9%	+8.8%	+13.7%	+3.4%

AMD −7.5%

Group moveChips & AI hardware

Advanced Micro Devices

Opened +1.2% and extended the move after the open (−8.6% open to close) on 1.6× normal volume. SPY −0.5%, QQQ −1.4%. 61% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: INTC −8.8%, DELL −7.4%, MU −5.8%, LRCX −4.8%, AMAT −4.0%. Before the move it sat −22.3% from its high, RSI 40.

Swept up in the chip selloffs: Oct 22 (-8.1%) and Oct 30 (-10.9%, the day of Intel's guidance shock). Reported Nov 3.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 2 times and bounced 6 times (median +3.3%). 20 sessions later the median was +9.3% (75% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +3.4%.

Since then: +4.7% after 2 sessions. Rhyming at 1 session (actual +3.7% vs lookalikes +3.3%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
AMD	Dec 17 25	−5.3%	Group move	−1.9%	-21%, RSI 41	+1.5%	+8.6%	+17.0%	+3.3%
INTC	Jul 13 26	−6.1%	Group move	−1.9%	-22%, RSI 43	+4.5%	−5.9%	−5.4%	+3.2%
AMD	Jul 28 26	−8.2%	Group move	−1.0%	-15%, RSI 45	−5.5%	+14.1%	+5.4%	+3.4%
LRCX	Mar 6 26	−7.2%	Group move	−1.5%	-14%, RSI 42	+5.9%	+6.5%	+10.7%	−1.7%
INTC	Jul 16 26	−5.8%	Group move	−1.6%	-27%, RSI 40	−2.0%	+3.4%	+7.8%	+3.6%
MU	Mar 30 26	−9.9%	Group move	−0.8%	-23%, RSI 38	+5.0%	+17.3%	+56.7%	+12.6%
AMD	Jul 29 26	−5.5%	Market-wide	−2.0%	-22%, RSI 39	+13.0%	+12.2%	+12.0%	+5.0%
LRCX	Jul 7 26	−6.9%	Group move	−1.9%	-19%, RSI 48	+2.1%	+6.1%	−2.6%	+3.2%

DELL −7.4%

Group moveChips & AI hardware

Dell Technologies

Opened −0.3% and extended the move after the open (−7.1% open to close) on 1.0× normal volume. SPY −0.5%, QQQ −1.4%. 61% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: INTC −8.8%, AMD −7.5%, MU −5.8%, LRCX −4.8%, AMAT −4.0%. Before the move it sat −27.8% from its high, RSI 36.

Rose about 300% in 2026, then a Barclays downgrade on Oct 14 (-11.3%) over valuation and memory prices normalizing, then Intel's PC and memory warning on Oct 30 (-10.8%).

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 5 times and bounced 3 times (median −0.4%). 20 sessions later the median was +7.2% (75% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +1.9%.

Since then: −5.2% after 2 sessions. Not rhyming at 1 session (actual +4.0% vs lookalikes −0.4%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
LRCX	Jul 28 26	−7.5%	Group move	−1.0%	-33%, RSI 38	−6.4%	+17.9%	+16.7%	+3.4%
INTC	Jul 16 26	−5.8%	Group move	−1.6%	-27%, RSI 40	−2.0%	+3.4%	+7.8%	+3.6%
DELL	Jan 20 26	−7.5%	Market-wide	−2.1%	-27%, RSI 40	+2.0%	+3.2%	+5.1%	+1.3%
PANW	Feb 5 26	−7.2%	Group move	−1.4%	-25%, RSI 28	+2.9%	+5.2%	+6.6%	−0.8%
DELL	Dec 10 24	−5.7%	Group move	−0.3%	-30%, RSI 42	+1.6%	+1.3%	−1.7%	−3.4%
CRWD	Feb 23 26	−9.8%	Group move	−1.2%	-30%, RSI 36	−0.0%	+9.9%	+18.0%	−3.7%
INTC	Jul 24 26	−7.9%	Stock-specific	−1.1%	-29%, RSI 42	−0.7%	−2.3%	−2.4%	+3.6%
LRCX	Sep 14 26	−8.3%	Group move	−0.8%	-31%, RSI 45	−1.0%	+10.5%	+13.3%	+2.5%

MU −5.8%

Group moveChips & AI hardware

Micron Technology

Opened +0.7% and extended the move after the open (−6.4% open to close) on 1.1× normal volume. SPY −0.5%, QQQ −1.4%. 61% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: INTC −8.8%, AMD −7.5%, DELL −7.4%, LRCX −4.8%, AMAT −4.0%. Before the move it sat −27.1% from its high, RSI 42.

Memory-price momentum is peaking: DRAM price gains slowed from roughly 60% a quarter to the high teens. Up about 197% in the first half of 2026 before the July 1 chip crash.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 3 times and bounced 5 times (median +0.8%). 20 sessions later the median was +6.1% (75% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +3.2%.

Since then: −4.6% after 2 sessions. Rhyming at 1 session (actual +2.6% vs lookalikes +0.8%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
MU	Jul 16 26	−5.7%	Group move	−1.6%	-25%, RSI 44	−0.5%	+16.1%	+11.3%	+3.6%
DELL	Dec 10 24	−5.7%	Group move	−0.3%	-30%, RSI 42	+1.6%	+1.3%	−1.7%	−3.4%
LRCX	Sep 10 26	−5.7%	Group move	−1.1%	-27%, RSI 52	+0.1%	−9.6%	+7.7%	+2.4%
INTC	Jul 13 26	−6.1%	Group move	−1.9%	-22%, RSI 43	+4.5%	−5.9%	−5.4%	+3.2%
PANW	Mar 27 26	−6.0%	Group move	−1.9%	-29%, RSI 42	+5.0%	+10.2%	+24.4%	+12.8%
AMAT	Jul 28 26	−7.8%	Group move	−1.0%	-29%, RSI 43	−8.4%	+14.7%	+0.9%	+3.4%
AMD	Dec 17 25	−5.3%	Group move	−1.9%	-21%, RSI 41	+1.5%	+8.6%	+17.0%	+3.3%
INTC	Aug 18 26	−6.6%	Group move	−1.7%	-27%, RSI 52	−4.0%	−9.5%	+4.5%	−1.8%

Friday Oct 30, 2026

SPY −1.8% · QQQ −3.5% · 10 headline-sized moves

INTC −28.6%

Market-wideChips & AI hardware

Intel

Opened −25.8% and extended the move after the open (−3.8% open to close) on 4.6× normal volume. SPY −1.8%, QQQ −3.5%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: AMD −10.9%, DELL −10.8%, AMAT −7.5%, ASML −6.5%, LRCX −6.0%. Before the move it sat −34.7% from its high, RSI 41.

Q4 revenue guide of $15-16B vs $17.1B expected, weak PC demand and a plant accident in Israel. Fell 28.6% on Oct 30, its worst day since 1974, and dragged the whole chip group down that day.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 7 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 5 times and bounced 2 times (median −2.7%). 20 sessions later the median was +0.2% (57% of 7 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +2.5%.

Since then: −11.4% after 3 sessions. Rhyming at 1 session (actual −8.8% vs lookalikes −2.7%)

The 7 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
DELL	Apr 3 25	−19.0%	Market-wide	−5.3%	-46%, RSI 45	−7.2%	+2.2%	+23.3%	+5.6%
IBM	Jul 14 26	−25.2%	Stock-specific	+1.1%	-12%, RSI 57	−2.7%	−3.0%	+10.6%	+2.5%
UNH	Jan 27 26	−19.6%	Stock-specific	+0.9%	-40%, RSI 59	+4.0%	+0.5%	+0.5%	−0.3%
AMD	Feb 4 26	−17.3%	Stock-specific	−1.8%	-8%, RSI 56	−3.8%	+6.7%	−0.4%	−0.7%
AVGO	Jan 27 25	−17.4%	Market-wide	−2.9%	-2%, RSI 67	+2.6%	+7.7%	+0.2%	−0.9%
UNH	May 13 25	−17.8%	Stock-specific	+1.5%	-39%, RSI 23	−1.1%	+3.3%	−0.3%	+2.5%
UNH	Apr 17 25	−22.4%	Stock-specific	−0.0%	-6%, RSI 70	−6.3%	−7.8%	−35.7%	+12.9%

AMD −10.9%

Market-wideChips & AI hardware

Advanced Micro Devices

Opened −10.2% and extended the move after the open (−0.7% open to close) on 2.0× normal volume. SPY −1.8%, QQQ −3.5%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: INTC −28.6%, DELL −10.8%, AMAT −7.5%, ASML −6.5%, LRCX −6.0%. Before the move it sat −12.8% from its high, RSI 51.

Swept up in the chip selloffs: Oct 22 (-8.1%) and Oct 30 (-10.9%, the day of Intel's guidance shock). Reported Nov 3.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 4 times and bounced 4 times (median +0.8%). 20 sessions later the median was +5.8% (62% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +2.4%.

Since then: −3.2% after 3 sessions. Not rhyming at 1 session (actual −7.5% vs lookalikes +0.8%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20	Cause
MU	Nov 20 25	−10.9%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-11%, RSI 52	+3.0%	+17.4%	+32.1%	+4.6%
INTC	Jun 5 26	−11.3%	Market-wide	−4.8%	-14%, RSI 55	+11.2%	+25.6%	+11.3%	+1.6%
NVDA	Feb 27 25	−8.5%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-12%, RSI 48	+4.0%	−8.0%	−7.2%	−2.8%
LRCX	Mar 26 26	−9.3%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-6%, RSI 55	−0.1%	+3.2%	+26.5%	+10.7%
BAC	Apr 3 25	−11.1%	Market-wide	−5.3%	-12%, RSI 45	−7.6%	−3.7%	+10.3%	+5.6%
INTC	Jul 7 26	−9.7%	Group move	−1.9%	-13%, RSI 50	−0.1%	−2.4%	−8.6%	+3.2%
NFLX	Mar 6 25	−8.5%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-6%, RSI 52	−1.7%	−1.8%	+1.2%	−6.0%
NVDA	Mar 3 25	−8.7%	Market-wide	−2.2%	-16%, RSI 44	+1.7%	−6.2%	−5.0%	−3.9%	Feb 26 report's gross-margin guide dipped (-8.5% Feb 27), then tariffs confirmed Mar 3.

DELL −10.8%

Market-wideChips & AI hardware

Dell Technologies

Opened −11.9% and pared the move after the open (+1.3% open to close) on 1.7× normal volume. SPY −1.8%, QQQ −3.5%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: INTC −28.6%, AMD −10.9%, AMAT −7.5%, ASML −6.5%, LRCX −6.0%. Before the move it sat −19.1% from its high, RSI 44.

Rose about 300% in 2026, then a Barclays downgrade on Oct 14 (-11.3%) over valuation and memory prices normalizing, then Intel's PC and memory warning on Oct 30 (-10.8%).

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 2 times and bounced 6 times (median +1.0%). 20 sessions later the median was +2.8% (75% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +0.4%.

Since then: −12.2% after 3 sessions. Not rhyming at 1 session (actual −7.4% vs lookalikes +1.0%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20	Cause
NVDA	Mar 3 25	−8.7%	Market-wide	−2.2%	-16%, RSI 44	+1.7%	−6.2%	−5.0%	−3.9%	Feb 26 report's gross-margin guide dipped (-8.5% Feb 27), then tariffs confirmed Mar 3.
PLTR	Mar 6 25	−10.7%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-28%, RSI 47	+5.5%	−1.0%	+3.9%	−6.0%
TXN	Apr 10 25	−7.6%	Market-wide	−4.2%	-22%, RSI 46	−5.8%	−5.2%	+10.9%	+7.6%
AMD	Nov 20 25	−7.8%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-15%, RSI 44	−1.1%	+5.6%	+3.6%	+4.6%
AVGO	Feb 27 25	−7.1%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-15%, RSI 43	+0.8%	−9.3%	−12.8%	−2.8%
PLTR	Mar 10 25	−10.1%	Market-wide	−3.9%	-32%, RSI 44	+2.2%	+14.4%	+1.9%	−9.8%
MU	Mar 26 26	−7.0%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-17%, RSI 42	+0.5%	+3.1%	+39.8%	+10.7%
AMAT	Nov 15 24	−9.2%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-27%, RSI 47	+1.1%	+3.8%	+0.6%	+3.6%

AMAT −7.5%

Market-wideChips & AI hardware

Applied Materials

Opened −5.9% and extended the move after the open (−1.7% open to close) on 1.5× normal volume. SPY −1.8%, QQQ −3.5%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: INTC −28.6%, AMD −10.9%, DELL −10.8%, ASML −6.5%, LRCX −6.0%. Before the move it sat −41.6% from its high, RSI 44.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 5 times and bounced 3 times (median −0.8%). 20 sessions later the median was −5.2% (38% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +0.2%.

Since then: −5.3% after 3 sessions. Rhyming at 1 session (actual −4.0% vs lookalikes −0.8%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
AMAT	Apr 10 25	−7.7%	Market-wide	−4.2%	-41%, RSI 51	+4.8%	−0.6%	+12.6%	+7.6%
AMAT	Feb 27 25	−7.0%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-33%, RSI 42	+0.9%	−3.3%	−5.7%	−2.8%
AMD	Jan 27 25	−6.4%	Market-wide	−2.9%	-42%, RSI 47	−0.7%	−0.6%	−9.6%	−0.9%
MU	Mar 10 25	−6.3%	Market-wide	−3.9%	-39%, RSI 48	+2.3%	+18.4%	−21.4%	−9.8%
AMD	Apr 16 25	−7.3%	Market-wide	−3.0%	-48%, RSI 47	−0.9%	+7.0%	+30.2%	+12.3%
AMAT	Apr 3 25	−8.3%	Market-wide	−5.3%	-42%, RSI 39	−6.3%	+2.0%	+14.5%	+5.6%
DELL	Mar 3 25	−7.0%	Market-wide	−2.2%	-42%, RSI 39	−1.6%	−5.5%	−4.6%	−3.9%
ORCL	Jan 20 26	−5.8%	Market-wide	−2.1%	-42%, RSI 43	−3.4%	−2.8%	−13.2%	+1.3%

ASML −6.5%

Market-wideChips & AI hardware

ASML Holding

Opened −5.2% and extended the move after the open (−1.4% open to close) on 1.4× normal volume. SPY −1.8%, QQQ −3.5%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: INTC −28.6%, AMD −10.9%, DELL −10.8%, AMAT −7.5%, LRCX −6.0%. Before the move it sat −15.6% from its high, RSI 49.

ASML’s CEO is putting his paycheck on the line for employee morale. It could help retain talent that’s nearly impossible to replace Fortune · Oct 31 6:42AM
ASML vs. Applied Materials: One Is Growing Twice as Fast, but I’d Buy The Other Instead Barchart · Oct 30 7:00PM

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 4 times and bounced 4 times (median −0.2%). 20 sessions later the median was +11.9% (62% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +3.2%.

Since then: −4.4% after 3 sessions. Rhyming at 1 session (actual −2.5% vs lookalikes −0.2%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
TSLA	Jun 23 26	−5.8%	Market-wide	−3.3%	-17%, RSI 49	−1.6%	+10.2%	−2.0%	+1.9%
AVGO	Feb 27 25	−7.1%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-15%, RSI 43	+0.8%	−9.3%	−12.8%	−2.8%
LRCX	Nov 20 25	−6.2%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-11%, RSI 49	+2.2%	+11.8%	+23.6%	+4.6%
NVDA	Apr 16 25	−6.9%	Market-wide	−3.0%	-25%, RSI 50	−2.9%	+1.9%	+29.0%	+12.3%
INTC	Mar 26 26	−6.5%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-13%, RSI 55	−2.2%	+14.2%	+87.2%	+10.7%
ORCL	Mar 6 25	−6.6%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-16%, RSI 43	+2.8%	−2.2%	−9.1%	−6.0%
AVGO	Jan 20 26	−5.4%	Market-wide	−2.1%	-15%, RSI 51	−1.1%	+0.1%	+0.3%	+1.3%
DELL	Jul 29 26	−5.7%	Market-wide	−2.0%	-16%, RSI 46	+9.5%	+25.2%	+25.5%	+5.0%

ORCL −6.4%

Market-wideInformation Technology

Oracle Corporation

Opened −4.3% and extended the move after the open (−2.2% open to close) on 1.3× normal volume. SPY −1.8%, QQQ −3.5%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: PLTR −6.3%, CRWD −4.1%, PANW −3.9%, MSFT −1.6%, AAPL −1.2%. Before the move it sat −48.6% from its high, RSI 53.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 5 times and bounced 3 times (median −0.4%). 20 sessions later the median was −5.2% (38% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +1.6%.

Since then: −5.3% after 3 sessions. Rhyming at 1 session (actual −8.8% vs lookalikes −0.4%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
ORCL	Jun 23 26	−5.7%	Market-wide	−3.3%	-46%, RSI 39	−4.6%	−11.3%	−23.5%	+1.9%
AMD	Apr 16 25	−7.3%	Market-wide	−3.0%	-48%, RSI 47	−0.9%	+7.0%	+30.2%	+12.3%
TSLA	Apr 10 25	−7.3%	Market-wide	−4.2%	-43%, RSI 51	−0.0%	−4.4%	+18.2%	+7.6%
AMD	Jan 27 25	−6.4%	Market-wide	−2.9%	-42%, RSI 47	−0.7%	−0.6%	−9.6%	−0.9%
MU	Mar 10 25	−6.3%	Market-wide	−3.9%	-39%, RSI 48	+2.3%	+18.4%	−21.4%	−9.8%
ORCL	Jan 20 26	−5.8%	Market-wide	−2.1%	-42%, RSI 43	−3.4%	−2.8%	−13.2%	+1.3%
TSLA	Apr 21 25	−5.8%	Market-wide	−2.5%	-50%, RSI 44	+4.6%	+25.7%	+50.4%	+15.8%
MU	Feb 27 25	−6.0%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-36%, RSI 51	+2.0%	−2.8%	−0.7%	−2.8%

PLTR −6.3%

Market-wideInformation Technology

Palantir Technologies

Opened −1.4% and extended the move after the open (−4.9% open to close) on 1.2× normal volume. SPY −1.8%, QQQ −3.5%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: ORCL −6.4%, CRWD −4.1%, PANW −3.9%, MSFT −1.6%, AAPL −1.2%. Before the move it sat −6.0% from its high, RSI 53.

AI-software valuation reset. Fell 7.2% on Oct 16 in a tech selloff while still at about 98x forward earnings, with questions about how AI spending gets funded. Reported Nov 2.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 3 times and bounced 5 times (median +0.7%). 20 sessions later the median was +1.3% (62% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +2.2%.

Since then: −6.7% after 3 sessions. Not rhyming at 1 session (actual −3.1% vs lookalikes +0.7%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
PLTR	Oct 10 25	−5.4%	Market-wide	−3.5%	-1%, RSI 61	+1.0%	+1.5%	+1.4%	+2.8%
PANW	Dec 18 24	−6.2%	Market-wide	−3.6%	-1%, RSI 57	+0.3%	−0.1%	−2.8%	+3.2%
AAPL	Mar 10 25	−4.8%	Market-wide	−3.9%	-8%, RSI 51	−2.9%	−5.9%	−20.2%	−9.8%
PLTR	Nov 13 25	−6.5%	Market-wide	−2.0%	-11%, RSI 49	+1.1%	−9.5%	+6.6%	+1.4%
NVDA	Jun 5 26	−6.2%	Market-wide	−4.8%	-7%, RSI 54	+1.7%	+0.0%	−4.0%	+1.6%
ASML	Nov 20 25	−5.6%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-3%, RSI 55	−1.5%	+8.1%	+7.6%	+4.6%
NFLX	Mar 6 25	−8.5%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-6%, RSI 52	−1.7%	−1.8%	+1.2%	−6.0%
PLTR	Apr 16 25	−5.8%	Market-wide	−3.0%	-21%, RSI 60	+1.1%	+16.2%	+38.2%	+12.3%

LRCX −6.0%

Market-wideChips & AI hardware

Lam Research

Opened −5.9% and extended the move after the open (−0.1% open to close) on 1.8× normal volume. SPY −1.8%, QQQ −3.5%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: INTC −28.6%, AMD −10.9%, DELL −10.8%, AMAT −7.5%, ASML −6.5%. Before the move it sat −41.2% from its high, RSI 39.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 4 times and bounced 4 times (median +0.0%). 20 sessions later the median was −7.1% (38% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +1.6%.

Since then: −7.4% after 3 sessions. Not rhyming at 1 session (actual −4.8% vs lookalikes +0.0%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
ORCL	Jun 23 26	−5.7%	Market-wide	−3.3%	-46%, RSI 39	−4.6%	−11.3%	−23.5%	+1.9%
AMD	Jan 27 25	−6.4%	Market-wide	−2.9%	-42%, RSI 47	−0.7%	−0.6%	−9.6%	−0.9%
MU	Mar 10 25	−6.3%	Market-wide	−3.9%	-39%, RSI 48	+2.3%	+18.4%	−21.4%	−9.8%
LRCX	Jul 29 26	−6.4%	Market-wide	−2.0%	-38%, RSI 34	+18.0%	+21.8%	+24.0%	+5.0%
DELL	Mar 3 25	−7.0%	Market-wide	−2.2%	-42%, RSI 39	−1.6%	−5.5%	−4.6%	−3.9%
LRCX	Apr 10 25	−6.6%	Market-wide	−4.2%	-36%, RSI 48	+1.6%	−4.0%	+13.4%	+7.6%
LRCX	Nov 15 24	−6.3%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-33%, RSI 45	+0.7%	+3.7%	+11.4%	+3.6%
ORCL	Jan 20 26	−5.8%	Market-wide	−2.1%	-42%, RSI 43	−3.4%	−2.8%	−13.2%	+1.3%

AVGO −5.5%

Market-wideChips & AI hardware

Broadcom

Opened −4.1% and extended the move after the open (−1.4% open to close) on 1.7× normal volume. SPY −1.8%, QQQ −3.5%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: INTC −28.6%, AMD −10.9%, DELL −10.8%, AMAT −7.5%, ASML −6.5%. Before the move it sat −28.1% from its high, RSI 49.

Jun 4 earnings kept the $100B AI revenue target instead of raising it (-14%). Margin guide down, reports of losing some Google custom-chip share, then the October chip rout.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 4 times and bounced 4 times (median +0.1%). 20 sessions later the median was +2.3% (50% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +0.5%.

Since then: −0.2% after 3 sessions. Not rhyming at 1 session (actual −1.2% vs lookalikes +0.1%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
LRCX	Mar 10 25	−6.6%	Market-wide	−3.9%	-29%, RSI 49	−0.6%	+6.1%	−15.7%	−9.8%
LRCX	Feb 27 25	−6.3%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-27%, RSI 49	+0.8%	+0.7%	−1.5%	−2.8%
ASML	Jan 27 25	−5.8%	Market-wide	−2.9%	-33%, RSI 50	−1.0%	+5.9%	+6.0%	−0.9%
AVGO	Apr 10 25	−6.9%	Market-wide	−4.2%	-26%, RSI 53	+5.6%	−0.8%	+20.8%	+7.6%
NVDA	Apr 16 25	−6.9%	Market-wide	−3.0%	-25%, RSI 50	−2.9%	+1.9%	+29.0%	+12.3%
MU	Mar 6 25	−5.4%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-38%, RSI 48	+4.1%	+6.3%	−16.6%	−6.0%
TSLA	Jun 23 26	−5.8%	Market-wide	−3.3%	-17%, RSI 49	−1.6%	+10.2%	−2.0%	+1.9%
LRCX	Nov 15 24	−6.3%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-33%, RSI 45	+0.7%	+3.7%	+11.4%	+3.6%

MU −5.3%

Market-wideChips & AI hardware

Micron Technology

Opened −5.4% and pared the move after the open (+0.1% open to close) on 1.2× normal volume. SPY −1.8%, QQQ −3.5%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: INTC −28.6%, AMD −10.9%, DELL −10.8%, AMAT −7.5%, ASML −6.5%. Before the move it sat −23.0% from its high, RSI 47.

Memory-price momentum is peaking: DRAM price gains slowed from roughly 60% a quarter to the high teens. Up about 197% in the first half of 2026 before the July 1 chip crash.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 3 times and bounced 5 times (median +0.6%). 20 sessions later the median was +2.3% (50% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +0.5%.

Since then: −10.1% after 3 sessions. Not rhyming at 1 session (actual −5.8% vs lookalikes +0.6%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
AVGO	Mar 10 25	−5.4%	Market-wide	−3.9%	-22%, RSI 42	+3.1%	+5.5%	−16.2%	−9.8%
NVDA	Apr 10 25	−5.9%	Market-wide	−4.2%	-23%, RSI 52	+3.1%	−5.7%	+8.4%	+7.6%
NVDA	Apr 16 25	−6.9%	Market-wide	−3.0%	-25%, RSI 50	−2.9%	+1.9%	+29.0%	+12.3%
NVDA	Mar 6 25	−5.7%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-22%, RSI 40	+1.9%	+4.5%	−7.9%	−6.0%
LRCX	Feb 27 25	−6.3%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-27%, RSI 49	+0.8%	+0.7%	−1.5%	−2.8%
TSLA	Jun 23 26	−5.8%	Market-wide	−3.3%	-17%, RSI 49	−1.6%	+10.2%	−2.0%	+1.9%
MU	Mar 26 26	−7.0%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-17%, RSI 42	+0.5%	+3.1%	+39.8%	+10.7%
ASML	Jan 27 25	−5.8%	Market-wide	−2.9%	-33%, RSI 50	−1.0%	+5.9%	+6.0%	−0.9%

Thursday Oct 29, 2026

SPY −0.4% · QQQ −1.4% · 4 headline-sized moves

GOOGL −12.6%

Stock-specificCommunication Services

Alphabet Inc. (Class A)

Opened −11.7% and extended the move after the open (−1.1% open to close) on 5.5× normal volume. SPY −0.4%, QQQ −1.4%. 35% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: NFLX +0.1%, META +2.0%. Before the move it sat −19.2% from its high, RSI 39.

Q3 2026: net profit -25% y/y, negative free cash flow, rising AI costs despite Cloud +103%.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 4 times and bounced 4 times (median −1.0%). 20 sessions later the median was +9.3% (88% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +0.8%.

Since then: +1.8% after 4 sessions. Rhyming at 1 session (actual −1.4% vs lookalikes −1.0%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20	Cause
IBM	Feb 23 26	−13.2%	Stock-specific	−1.2%	-18%, RSI 33	+2.7%	+7.2%	+11.2%	−3.7%
PLTR	Feb 4 26	−11.6%	Stock-specific	−1.8%	-24%, RSI 40	−6.8%	−2.8%	+9.4%	−0.7%
TSLA	Jul 23 26	−14.5%	Stock-specific	−1.9%	-24%, RSI 42	−2.1%	−3.4%	+8.0%	+3.3%	Q2 2026: EPS miss, negative free cash flow, $16.7B second-half capex plan.
PLTR	Feb 24 25	−10.5%	Stock-specific	−1.2%	-19%, RSI 53	−3.1%	−8.0%	+6.7%	−3.6%
LLY	Aug 7 25	−14.1%	Stock-specific	+0.3%	-22%, RSI 42	−2.4%	+6.8%	+13.7%	+2.4%
DELL	Nov 17 25	−8.4%	Stock-specific	−0.8%	-19%, RSI 34	+0.2%	+3.9%	+9.2%	+2.0%
MU	Mar 30 26	−9.9%	Group move	−0.8%	-23%, RSI 38	+5.0%	+17.3%	+56.7%	+12.6%
DELL	Nov 27 24	−12.2%	Stock-specific	−0.8%	-20%, RSI 62	+2.6%	+0.6%	−5.7%	−0.3%

CAT −9.2%

Stock-specificIndustrials

Caterpillar Inc.

Opened −10.8% and pared the move after the open (+1.7% open to close) on 3.0× normal volume. SPY −0.4%, QQQ −1.4%. 35% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: RTX +1.8%, GE +4.0%. Before the move it sat −32.7% from its high, RSI 37.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 5 times and bounced 3 times (median −0.4%). 20 sessions later the median was +9.7% (75% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +0.6%.

Since then: −8.7% after 4 sessions. Rhyming at 1 session (actual −3.8% vs lookalikes −0.4%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
TSLA	Feb 25 25	−8.4%	Stock-specific	−1.3%	-31%, RSI 35	−4.0%	−10.2%	−4.8%	−2.9%
INTC	Jul 24 26	−7.9%	Stock-specific	−1.1%	-29%, RSI 42	−0.7%	−2.3%	−2.4%	+3.6%
CRWD	Feb 23 26	−9.8%	Group move	−1.2%	-30%, RSI 36	−0.0%	+9.9%	+18.0%	−3.7%
AMAT	Jul 29 26	−8.4%	Market-wide	−2.0%	-34%, RSI 38	+15.0%	+22.4%	+10.0%	+5.0%
LRCX	Jul 28 26	−7.5%	Group move	−1.0%	-33%, RSI 38	−6.4%	+17.9%	+16.7%	+3.4%
CRWD	Feb 5 26	−9.2%	Group move	−1.4%	-26%, RSI 30	+4.9%	+9.1%	+13.7%	−0.8%
PLTR	Feb 4 26	−11.6%	Stock-specific	−1.8%	-24%, RSI 40	−6.8%	−2.8%	+9.4%	−0.7%
DELL	Nov 17 25	−8.4%	Stock-specific	−0.8%	-19%, RSI 34	+0.2%	+3.9%	+9.2%	+2.0%

LLY +6.6%

Stock-specificHealth Care

Lilly (Eli)

Opened +3.5% and extended the move after the open (+3.1% open to close) on 1.9× normal volume. SPY −0.4%, QQQ −1.4%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: MRK +3.8%, AMGN +2.0%, ABBV +1.7%, JNJ +1.5%, UNH +0.9%. Before the move it sat −1.4% from its high, RSI 64.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 6 times and gave some back 2 times (median +2.4%). 20 sessions later the median was +1.3% (62% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +1.4%.

Since then: +3.2% after 4 sessions. Rhyming at 1 session (actual +3.2% vs lookalikes +2.4%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
LLY	Jun 26 26	+7.1%	Group move	−1.4%	-3%, RSI 60	+1.8%	−0.7%	−0.9%	+1.4%
PLTR	Aug 5 25	+7.8%	Stock-specific	−0.7%	0%, RSI 65	+3.6%	+7.9%	−10.6%	+2.5%
PANW	Aug 10 26	+5.8%	Stock-specific	−0.3%	-1%, RSI 64	−0.3%	−2.4%	−12.5%	−0.9%
MU	Oct 16 25	+5.5%	Stock-specific	−0.4%	-2%, RSI 65	−0.1%	+2.1%	+17.0%	+1.7%
CSCO	Nov 13 25	+4.6%	Stock-specific	−2.0%	-1%, RSI 63	+0.8%	−2.5%	+0.5%	+1.4%
INTC	Jan 13 26	+7.3%	Stock-specific	−0.1%	-3%, RSI 65	+3.0%	+14.7%	+2.1%	−0.3%
INTC	Sep 24 25	+6.4%	Stock-specific	−0.3%	-4%, RSI 68	+8.9%	+15.1%	+18.3%	+1.0%
DELL	Mar 24 26	+7.5%	Stock-specific	−0.7%	0%, RSI 71	+4.0%	−7.2%	+21.7%	+8.9%

MA +4.2%

Stock-specificFinancials

Mastercard

Opened +1.9% and extended the move after the open (+2.2% open to close) on 1.5× normal volume. SPY −0.4%, QQQ −1.4%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: V +2.5%, WFC +1.4%, JPM +1.3%, BAC +0.6%, BRK-B +0.3%. Before the move it sat −3.6% from its high, RSI 59.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 4 times and gave some back 4 times (median −0.1%). 20 sessions later the median was −0.8% (38% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +1.0%.

Since then: +5.8% after 4 sessions. Not rhyming at 1 session (actual +0.4% vs lookalikes −0.1%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
BRK-B	Feb 24 25	+4.1%	Stock-specific	−1.2%	-1%, RSI 58	+0.3%	+2.3%	+5.5%	−3.6%
BRK-B	Jul 28 26	+3.1%	Stock-specific	−1.0%	-3%, RSI 56	−0.6%	+0.9%	−1.6%	+3.4%
PANW	Sep 23 26	+5.0%	Stock-specific	−0.8%	-5%, RSI 57	−0.9%	+1.0%	−11.7%	+0.7%
CSCO	Nov 13 25	+4.6%	Stock-specific	−2.0%	-1%, RSI 63	+0.8%	−2.5%	+0.5%	+1.4%
KO	Oct 21 25	+4.1%	Stock-specific	−0.0%	-6%, RSI 61	−0.6%	−1.5%	+0.0%	−1.7%
RTX	Mar 2 26	+4.7%	Stock-specific	+0.1%	-1%, RSI 58	−2.7%	−1.9%	−11.8%	−7.7%
JNJ	Jun 26 26	+4.0%	Group move	−1.4%	-1%, RSI 65	+1.5%	+1.8%	+4.4%	+1.4%
WMT	Oct 14 25	+5.0%	Stock-specific	−0.7%	-2%, RSI 51	+1.7%	−0.9%	−3.5%	+3.1%

Wednesday Oct 28, 2026

SPY +0.3% · QQQ +0.6% · 4 headline-sized moves

ORCL +10.7%

Stock-specificInformation Technology

Oracle Corporation

Opened +0.6% and extended the move after the open (+10.1% open to close) on 3.0× normal volume. SPY +0.3%, QQQ +0.6%. 57% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: IBM +1.2%, MSFT −0.1%, CRWD −0.5%, AAPL −0.9%, PLTR −1.0%. Before the move it sat −53.0% from its high, RSI 45.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 6 times and gave some back 2 times (median +1.8%). 20 sessions later the median was +16.7% (62% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +3.9%.

Since then: −14.4% after 5 sessions. Not rhyming at 5 sessions (actual −14.4% vs lookalikes +1.0%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
ORCL	Mar 11 26	+9.2%	Stock-specific	−0.0%	-54%, RSI 43	−2.4%	−6.3%	−15.2%	+0.8%
ORCL	Apr 13 26	+12.7%	Stock-specific	+1.0%	-58%, RSI 38	+4.7%	+14.1%	+24.6%	+7.8%
ORCL	May 1 26	+6.5%	Stock-specific	+1.0%	-50%, RSI 49	+4.9%	+14.0%	+44.4%	+5.3%
ORCL	Feb 9 26	+9.6%	Stock-specific	+0.8%	-56%, RSI 27	+2.1%	−1.7%	−4.6%	−2.4%
UNH	Apr 7 26	+9.4%	Stock-specific	+0.0%	-52%, RSI 53	−0.6%	+2.1%	+18.2%	+9.8%
MU	Jan 6 25	+10.4%	Stock-specific	+1.1%	-41%, RSI 43	+2.7%	−1.9%	−5.7%	+1.5%
UNH	Aug 15 25	+12.0%	Stock-specific	−0.4%	-56%, RSI 50	+1.5%	+1.1%	+15.2%	+2.7%
TSLA	Apr 25 25	+9.8%	Stock-specific	+1.1%	-46%, RSI 51	+0.3%	+0.8%	+19.1%	+5.2%

MU +5.9%

Stock-specificChips & AI hardware

Micron Technology

Opened +3.5% and extended the move after the open (+2.2% open to close) on 1.1× normal volume. SPY +0.3%, QQQ +0.6%. 57% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: LRCX +5.4%, AMAT +5.1%, AMD +3.2%, AVGO +2.8%, INTC +1.9%. Before the move it sat −23.4% from its high, RSI 46.

Memory-price momentum is peaking: DRAM price gains slowed from roughly 60% a quarter to the high teens. Up about 197% in the first half of 2026 before the July 1 chip crash.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 5 times and gave some back 3 times (median +1.4%). 20 sessions later the median was −1.3% (50% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +1.6%.

Since then: −19.1% after 5 sessions. Not rhyming at 5 sessions (actual −19.1% vs lookalikes +1.7%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
AVGO	Apr 7 26	+6.2%	Stock-specific	+0.0%	-24%, RSI 47	+5.0%	+14.0%	+28.0%	+9.8%
INTC	Mar 25 26	+7.1%	Stock-specific	+0.7%	-19%, RSI 46	−6.5%	+1.8%	+41.5%	+7.9%
INTC	Feb 24 26	+5.7%	Stock-specific	+1.1%	-20%, RSI 43	+1.6%	−6.5%	−4.5%	−4.7%
AMD	Jan 13 26	+6.4%	Stock-specific	−0.1%	-21%, RSI 44	+1.2%	+13.1%	−3.3%	−0.3%
LLY	Aug 26 25	+5.8%	Stock-specific	+0.4%	-27%, RSI 44	−0.2%	+0.2%	+0.8%	+2.8%
MU	Aug 8 25	+6.3%	Stock-specific	+0.9%	-12%, RSI 49	+4.1%	+1.7%	+10.6%	+1.8%
MU	Sep 17 26	+5.5%	Group move	+1.7%	-24%, RSI 47	+3.9%	+10.5%	−4.7%	+1.5%
AMAT	Aug 17 26	+5.5%	Stock-specific	−0.2%	-30%, RSI 45	−3.9%	−9.4%	−21.2%	−2.0%

LRCX +5.4%

Stock-specificChips & AI hardware

Lam Research

Opened +1.7% and extended the move after the open (+3.6% open to close) on 1.1× normal volume. SPY +0.3%, QQQ +0.6%. 57% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: MU +5.9%, AMAT +5.1%, AMD +3.2%, AVGO +2.8%, INTC +1.9%. Before the move it sat −44.4% from its high, RSI 31.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 5 times and gave some back 3 times (median +2.8%). 20 sessions later the median was −4.4% (38% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was −0.4%.

Since then: −12.8% after 5 sessions. Not rhyming at 5 sessions (actual −12.8% vs lookalikes +6.7%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
ORCL	Dec 19 25	+6.6%	Stock-specific	+1.3%	-45%, RSI 30	+3.3%	+1.8%	−9.2%	+0.7%
LRCX	Apr 7 25	+5.3%	Group move	+0.2%	-47%, RSI 23	−3.1%	+9.1%	+17.6%	+10.8%
TSLA	Mar 21 25	+5.3%	Stock-specific	+0.3%	-51%, RSI 34	+11.9%	+6.0%	−8.5%	−8.9%
AMAT	Sep 18 26	+6.5%	Group move	+0.6%	-42%, RSI 34	+4.4%	+9.1%	−7.9%	+0.2%
TSLA	Apr 2 25	+5.3%	Stock-specific	+0.7%	-44%, RSI 47	−5.5%	−3.7%	−0.8%	−1.1%
NFLX	Feb 25 26	+6.0%	Stock-specific	+1.4%	-42%, RSI 39	+2.3%	+19.3%	+11.6%	−5.0%
PLTR	Mar 7 25	+5.5%	Stock-specific	+0.7%	-35%, RSI 39	−10.1%	+1.6%	−12.8%	−12.0%
LRCX	Apr 23 25	+5.1%	Market-wide	+2.3%	-43%, RSI 40	+6.2%	+7.4%	+24.1%	+8.9%

AMAT +5.1%

Group moveChips & AI hardware

Applied Materials

Opened +1.7% and extended the move after the open (+3.3% open to close) on 1.0× normal volume. SPY +0.3%, QQQ +0.6%. 57% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: MU +5.9%, LRCX +5.4%, AMD +3.2%, AVGO +2.8%, INTC +1.9%. Before the move it sat −45.2% from its high, RSI 34.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 4 times and gave some back 4 times (median +0.2%). 20 sessions later the median was −1.1% (50% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was −0.7%.

Since then: −11.2% after 5 sessions. Not rhyming at 5 sessions (actual −11.2% vs lookalikes +6.3%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
AMAT	Sep 18 26	+6.5%	Group move	+0.6%	-42%, RSI 34	+4.4%	+9.1%	−7.9%	+0.2%
LRCX	Apr 7 25	+5.3%	Group move	+0.2%	-47%, RSI 23	−3.1%	+9.1%	+17.6%	+10.8%
PLTR	Feb 9 26	+5.2%	Group move	+0.8%	-34%, RSI 32	−2.4%	−6.9%	+5.8%	−2.4%
DELL	Feb 10 25	+5.6%	Group move	+1.2%	-40%, RSI 45	−0.8%	+7.2%	−18.5%	−8.1%
TSLA	Mar 21 25	+5.3%	Stock-specific	+0.3%	-51%, RSI 34	+11.9%	+6.0%	−8.5%	−8.9%
AMD	Apr 11 25	+5.3%	Group move	+1.8%	-52%, RSI 41	+1.2%	−8.4%	+15.8%	+9.2%
LRCX	Sep 4 26	+5.1%	Group move	+0.2%	-32%, RSI 42	+4.2%	−11.1%	+12.5%	+0.8%
MU	Mar 12 25	+7.4%	Group move	+1.1%	-42%, RSI 44	−0.8%	+6.7%	−18.5%	−1.5%

Tuesday Oct 27, 2026

SPY +0.6% · QQQ +1.3% · 2 headline-sized moves

DELL +7.5%

Group moveChips & AI hardware

Dell Technologies

Opened +1.5% and extended the move after the open (+5.9% open to close) on 1.0× normal volume. SPY +0.6%, QQQ +1.3%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: AMD +5.5%, AVGO +4.0%, TXN +3.6%, INTC +3.6%, ASML +2.9%. Before the move it sat −20.5% from its high, RSI 41.

Rose about 300% in 2026, then a Barclays downgrade on Oct 14 (-11.3%) over valuation and memory prices normalizing, then Intel's PC and memory warning on Oct 30 (-10.8%).

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 7 times and gave some back 1 times (median +1.4%). 20 sessions later the median was +9.9% (75% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +1.7%.

Since then: −25.8% after 6 sessions. Not rhyming at 5 sessions (actual −18.6% vs lookalikes +4.1%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
INTC	Mar 4 26	+5.8%	Group move	+1.5%	-21%, RSI 42	+0.8%	+5.3%	+5.4%	−4.1%
DELL	Nov 26 25	+5.8%	Group move	+0.9%	-24%, RSI 37	+0.1%	+4.3%	−3.0%	+1.9%
DELL	Jul 21 26	+6.0%	Group move	+1.9%	-18%, RSI 45	+9.3%	−3.0%	+16.0%	+2.6%
AMD	Dec 19 25	+6.2%	Group move	+1.3%	-24%, RSI 38	+0.7%	+1.0%	+17.0%	+0.7%
LRCX	Mar 9 26	+5.9%	Group move	+1.3%	-20%, RSI 36	+1.9%	+3.9%	+6.2%	−2.5%
INTC	Apr 1 26	+8.8%	Group move	+1.2%	-19%, RSI 48	+4.9%	+28.5%	+96.7%	+9.7%
LRCX	Jul 9 26	+6.0%	Group move	+1.7%	-23%, RSI 45	−0.8%	−9.1%	−13.4%	+2.2%
INTC	Aug 12 25	+5.6%	Group move	+1.3%	-25%, RSI 46	+1.9%	+16.1%	+13.6%	+1.5%

AMD +5.5%

Group moveChips & AI hardware

Advanced Micro Devices

Opened +1.6% and extended the move after the open (+3.9% open to close) on 1.1× normal volume. SPY +0.6%, QQQ +1.3%. 63% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: DELL +7.5%, AVGO +4.0%, TXN +3.6%, INTC +3.6%, ASML +2.9%. Before the move it sat −18.2% from its high, RSI 43.

Swept up in the chip selloffs: Oct 22 (-8.1%) and Oct 30 (-10.9%, the day of Intel's guidance shock). Reported Nov 3.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 6 times and gave some back 2 times (median +0.8%). 20 sessions later the median was +5.5% (62% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +1.3%.

Since then: −12.8% after 6 sessions. Not rhyming at 5 sessions (actual −13.6% vs lookalikes +1.3%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
MU	Mar 9 26	+5.1%	Group move	+1.3%	-15%, RSI 43	+3.5%	+13.5%	−3.0%	−2.5%
INTC	Mar 4 26	+5.8%	Group move	+1.5%	-21%, RSI 42	+0.8%	+5.3%	+5.4%	−4.1%
AMD	Dec 19 25	+6.2%	Group move	+1.3%	-24%, RSI 38	+0.7%	+1.0%	+17.0%	+0.7%
DELL	Jul 21 26	+6.0%	Group move	+1.9%	-18%, RSI 45	+9.3%	−3.0%	+16.0%	+2.6%
TXN	Aug 12 25	+5.0%	Group move	+1.3%	-16%, RSI 36	+0.2%	+1.5%	−4.6%	+1.5%
LRCX	Jul 9 26	+6.0%	Group move	+1.7%	-23%, RSI 45	−0.8%	−9.1%	−13.4%	+2.2%
AMD	Sep 8 26	+5.9%	Group move	−0.1%	-18%, RSI 50	+3.0%	−0.3%	+28.4%	+2.0%
AMD	Jun 8 26	+5.1%	Group move	+1.6%	-14%, RSI 55	−3.0%	+11.6%	+5.5%	+1.1%

Monday Oct 26, 2026

SPY +0.7% · QQQ +1.1% · 1 headline-sized move

TSLA +5.2%

Stock-specificConsumer Discretionary

Tesla, Inc.

Opened +3.1% and extended the move after the open (+2.0% open to close) on 1.5× normal volume. SPY +0.7%, QQQ +1.1%. 67% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: AMZN +0.4%, HD −0.1%. Before the move it sat −24.0% from its high, RSI 52.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 2 times and gave some back 6 times (median −3.5%). 20 sessions later the median was −2.8% (38% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +1.1%.

Since then: −1.6% after 7 sessions. Not rhyming at 5 sessions (actual +3.1% vs lookalikes −2.0%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
TSLA	Sep 3 26	+5.4%	Stock-specific	+1.2%	-27%, RSI 53	−5.9%	−2.9%	−1.5%	−0.2%
TSLA	Aug 21 26	+5.1%	Stock-specific	+0.3%	-30%, RSI 50	−3.8%	−3.9%	+3.4%	+1.3%
TSLA	Aug 31 26	+5.5%	Stock-specific	+0.1%	-29%, RSI 51	−3.2%	+0.1%	−4.1%	−0.1%
TSLA	Sep 11 25	+6.0%	Stock-specific	+0.6%	-28%, RSI 58	+7.4%	+13.0%	+18.1%	+2.3%
TSLA	Jul 6 26	+6.7%	Stock-specific	+1.4%	-20%, RSI 47	−4.0%	−6.0%	−23.3%	+0.8%
TSLA	Apr 15 26	+7.6%	Stock-specific	+1.4%	-26%, RSI 46	−0.8%	−1.1%	+13.6%	+6.0%
PLTR	Mar 23 26	+6.7%	Stock-specific	+1.1%	-27%, RSI 51	−3.8%	−14.5%	−9.2%	+7.4%
HD	Jun 24 26	+5.7%	Stock-specific	−0.4%	-22%, RSI 53	+0.6%	+2.3%	−5.3%	+0.7%

Friday Oct 23, 2026

SPY −0.5% · QQQ −0.0% · 2 headline-sized moves

CRWD +8.2%

Stock-specificInformation Technology

CrowdStrike

Opened +0.6% and extended the move after the open (+7.6% open to close) on 1.6× normal volume. SPY −0.5%, QQQ −0.0%. 33% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: PANW +7.2%, MSFT +0.7%, IBM +0.6%, ORCL +0.5%, PLTR +0.3%. Before the move it sat −14.7% from its high, RSI 46.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 3 times and gave some back 5 times (median −0.4%). 20 sessions later the median was −1.1% (38% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +1.2%.

Since then: −6.4% after 8 sessions. Rhyming at 5 sessions (actual −2.8% vs lookalikes −1.8%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
CRWD	May 7 26	+8.0%	Stock-specific	−0.1%	-16%, RSI 62	+4.4%	+14.7%	+32.7%	+0.8%
V	Apr 29 26	+8.3%	Stock-specific	+0.6%	-17%, RSI 50	−1.5%	−4.8%	−2.8%	+6.0%
ORCL	Jan 21 25	+7.2%	Stock-specific	+0.6%	-16%, RSI 41	+6.8%	−5.0%	+5.2%	+1.6%
AMD	Aug 14 26	+6.5%	Stock-specific	−0.1%	-17%, RSI 47	−1.6%	−8.0%	−4.1%	−2.0%
ORCL	Jan 30 25	+5.2%	Stock-specific	+0.4%	-16%, RSI 45	−0.2%	+1.2%	−2.5%	−1.8%
MU	Feb 11 26	+9.9%	Stock-specific	+0.3%	-15%, RSI 51	+0.9%	+1.7%	−1.2%	−3.7%
DELL	Jul 22 26	+9.3%	Stock-specific	−0.5%	-13%, RSI 51	−0.6%	−16.3%	−1.0%	+2.9%
INTC	Mar 25 26	+7.1%	Stock-specific	+0.7%	-19%, RSI 46	−6.5%	+1.8%	+41.5%	+7.9%

PANW +7.2%

Stock-specificInformation Technology

Palo Alto Networks

Opened −0.2% and extended the move after the open (+7.4% open to close) on 1.2× normal volume. SPY −0.5%, QQQ −0.0%. 33% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: CRWD +8.2%, MSFT +0.7%, IBM +0.6%, ORCL +0.5%, PLTR +0.3%. Before the move it sat −15.5% from its high, RSI 43.

Sep 2 earnings beat, but a GAAP loss and CyberArk integration costs, plus a Barclays valuation warning, set off a cybersecurity valuation reset (-9.3%). Reports again Nov 18.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 4 times and gave some back 4 times (median +0.5%). 20 sessions later the median was −2.6% (38% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +1.2%.

Since then: −8.5% after 8 sessions. Not rhyming at 5 sessions (actual −3.9% vs lookalikes +0.3%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
ORCL	Jan 21 25	+7.2%	Stock-specific	+0.6%	-16%, RSI 41	+6.8%	−5.0%	+5.2%	+1.6%
ORCL	Jan 30 25	+5.2%	Stock-specific	+0.4%	-16%, RSI 45	−0.2%	+1.2%	−2.5%	−1.8%
AMD	Aug 14 26	+6.5%	Stock-specific	−0.1%	-17%, RSI 47	−1.6%	−8.0%	−4.1%	−2.0%
GOOGL	Jul 31 26	+6.7%	Stock-specific	+0.7%	-17%, RSI 42	+4.9%	−0.5%	−2.7%	+3.0%
PANW	May 7 26	+7.0%	Stock-specific	−0.1%	-17%, RSI 62	+5.8%	+21.2%	+38.4%	+0.8%
AMD	Jan 13 26	+6.4%	Stock-specific	−0.1%	-21%, RSI 44	+1.2%	+13.1%	−3.3%	−0.3%
INTC	Mar 25 26	+7.1%	Stock-specific	+0.7%	-19%, RSI 46	−6.5%	+1.8%	+41.5%	+7.9%
V	Apr 29 26	+8.3%	Stock-specific	+0.6%	-17%, RSI 50	−1.5%	−4.8%	−2.8%	+6.0%

Thursday Oct 22, 2026

SPY −1.2% · QQQ −2.9% · 9 headline-sized moves

LRCX −11.8%

Market-wideChips & AI hardware

Lam Research

Opened −10.1% and extended the move after the open (−1.9% open to close) on 2.6× normal volume. SPY −1.2%, QQQ −2.9%. 51% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: AMAT −8.2%, AMD −8.1%, INTC −8.0%, ASML −6.9%, DELL −6.8%. Before the move it sat −39.8% from its high, RSI 32.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 3 times and bounced 5 times (median +2.3%). 20 sessions later the median was +17.0% (100% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +5.3%.

Since then: −3.8% after 9 sessions. Rhyming at 5 sessions (actual +10.5% vs lookalikes +4.1%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20	Cause
MU	Jul 29 26	−9.9%	Market-wide	−2.0%	-32%, RSI 40	+18.4%	+20.9%	+27.0%	+5.0%
DELL	Jan 27 25	−8.7%	Market-wide	−2.9%	-36%, RSI 46	−2.5%	−3.6%	+6.6%	−0.9%
LRCX	Apr 3 25	−11.6%	Market-wide	−5.3%	-34%, RSI 43	−9.4%	+1.9%	+14.3%	+5.6%
LRCX	Apr 4 25	−9.4%	Market-wide	−6.2%	-42%, RSI 29	+5.3%	+14.2%	+25.1%	+11.5%
TSLA	Mar 10 25	−15.4%	Market-wide	−3.9%	-45%, RSI 27	+3.8%	+7.1%	+5.0%	−9.8%	Nasdaq's worst day in years on recession fears, after European sales collapsed (Feb 25, -8.4%).
PLTR	Mar 6 25	−10.7%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-28%, RSI 47	+5.5%	−1.0%	+3.9%	−6.0%
MU	Apr 10 25	−10.0%	Market-wide	−4.2%	-49%, RSI 42	−0.7%	−1.8%	+22.6%	+7.6%
ASML	Apr 16 25	−7.1%	Market-wide	−3.0%	-37%, RSI 51	+0.8%	+6.3%	+19.8%	+12.3%

AMAT −8.2%

Market-wideChips & AI hardware

Applied Materials

Opened −6.3% and extended the move after the open (−2.0% open to close) on 2.0× normal volume. SPY −1.2%, QQQ −2.9%. 51% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: LRCX −11.8%, AMD −8.1%, INTC −8.0%, ASML −6.9%, DELL −6.8%. Before the move it sat −43.4% from its high, RSI 31.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 6 times and bounced 2 times (median −0.8%). 20 sessions later the median was −1.6% (50% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +0.5%.

Since then: −1.6% after 9 sessions. Not rhyming at 5 sessions (actual +12.3% vs lookalikes −1.9%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
TSLA	Mar 6 25	−5.6%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-42%, RSI 30	−0.3%	−8.6%	+1.4%	−6.0%
AMAT	Jul 29 26	−8.4%	Market-wide	−2.0%	-34%, RSI 38	+15.0%	+22.4%	+10.0%	+5.0%
DELL	Mar 3 25	−7.0%	Market-wide	−2.2%	-42%, RSI 39	−1.6%	−5.5%	−4.6%	−3.9%
AMAT	Feb 27 25	−7.0%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-33%, RSI 42	+0.9%	−3.3%	−5.7%	−2.8%
AMAT	Apr 3 25	−8.3%	Market-wide	−5.3%	-42%, RSI 39	−6.3%	+2.0%	+14.5%	+5.6%
AMD	Jan 27 25	−6.4%	Market-wide	−2.9%	-42%, RSI 47	−0.7%	−0.6%	−9.6%	−0.9%
AMD	Apr 16 25	−7.3%	Market-wide	−3.0%	-48%, RSI 47	−0.9%	+7.0%	+30.2%	+12.3%
ORCL	Jun 23 26	−5.7%	Market-wide	−3.3%	-46%, RSI 39	−4.6%	−11.3%	−23.5%	+1.9%

AMD −8.1%

Market-wideChips & AI hardware

Advanced Micro Devices

Opened −5.2% and extended the move after the open (−3.1% open to close) on 1.4× normal volume. SPY −1.2%, QQQ −2.9%. 51% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: LRCX −11.8%, AMAT −8.2%, INTC −8.0%, ASML −6.9%, DELL −6.8%. Before the move it sat −14.9% from its high, RSI 45.

Swept up in the chip selloffs: Oct 22 (-8.1%) and Oct 30 (-10.9%, the day of Intel's guidance shock). Reported Nov 3.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 2 times and bounced 6 times (median +1.3%). 20 sessions later the median was −0.1% (50% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +2.5%.

Since then: −3.8% after 9 sessions. Rhyming at 5 sessions (actual +11.5% vs lookalikes +1.1%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20	Cause
AMD	Nov 20 25	−7.8%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-15%, RSI 44	−1.1%	+5.6%	+3.6%	+4.6%
AVGO	Feb 27 25	−7.1%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-15%, RSI 43	+0.8%	−9.3%	−12.8%	−2.8%
NVDA	Mar 3 25	−8.7%	Market-wide	−2.2%	-16%, RSI 44	+1.7%	−6.2%	−5.0%	−3.9%	Feb 26 report's gross-margin guide dipped (-8.5% Feb 27), then tariffs confirmed Mar 3.
MU	Mar 26 26	−7.0%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-17%, RSI 42	+0.5%	+3.1%	+39.8%	+10.7%
ORCL	Mar 6 25	−6.6%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-16%, RSI 43	+2.8%	−2.2%	−9.1%	−6.0%
DELL	Jul 29 26	−5.7%	Market-wide	−2.0%	-16%, RSI 46	+9.5%	+25.2%	+25.5%	+5.0%
AMD	Jul 28 26	−8.2%	Group move	−1.0%	-15%, RSI 45	−5.5%	+14.1%	+5.4%	+3.4%
AVGO	Jun 5 26	−7.9%	Market-wide	−4.8%	-13%, RSI 48	+2.8%	−0.9%	−3.7%	+1.6%

INTC −8.0%

Market-wideChips & AI hardware

Intel

Opened −5.4% and extended the move after the open (−2.8% open to close) on 1.4× normal volume. SPY −1.2%, QQQ −2.9%. 51% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: LRCX −11.8%, AMAT −8.2%, AMD −8.1%, ASML −6.9%, DELL −6.8%. Before the move it sat −34.0% from its high, RSI 36.

Q4 revenue guide of $15-16B vs $17.1B expected, weak PC demand and a plant accident in Israel. Fell 28.6% on Oct 30, its worst day since 1974, and dragged the whole chip group down that day.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 3 times and bounced 5 times (median +0.8%). 20 sessions later the median was +5.8% (62% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +2.4%.

Since then: −31.8% after 9 sessions. Rhyming at 5 sessions (actual +7.7% vs lookalikes +3.5%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20	Cause
AMAT	Jul 29 26	−8.4%	Market-wide	−2.0%	-34%, RSI 38	+15.0%	+22.4%	+10.0%	+5.0%
AMAT	Feb 27 25	−7.0%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-33%, RSI 42	+0.9%	−3.3%	−5.7%	−2.8%
DELL	Jan 27 25	−8.7%	Market-wide	−2.9%	-36%, RSI 46	−2.5%	−3.6%	+6.6%	−0.9%
LRCX	Nov 15 24	−6.3%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-33%, RSI 45	+0.7%	+3.7%	+11.4%	+3.6%
DELL	Jan 20 26	−7.5%	Market-wide	−2.1%	-27%, RSI 40	+2.0%	+3.2%	+5.1%	+1.3%
ORCL	Nov 20 25	−6.6%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-31%, RSI 34	−5.7%	−4.2%	−8.9%	+4.6%
META	Mar 26 26	−8.0%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-25%, RSI 36	−4.0%	+4.9%	+23.3%	+10.7%	Jury verdict in social-media addiction case; child-safety ruling. Fear of more judgments.
AVGO	Mar 6 25	−6.3%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-23%, RSI 36	+8.6%	+6.6%	−13.9%	−6.0%

META −7.0%

Market-wideCommunication Services

Meta Platforms

Opened −3.0% and extended the move after the open (−4.1% open to close) on 2.1× normal volume. SPY −1.2%, QQQ −2.9%. 51% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: GOOGL −3.1%, NFLX +3.1%. Before the move it sat −10.3% from its high, RSI 47.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 4 times and bounced 4 times (median +0.0%). 20 sessions later the median was +7.3% (75% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +3.2%.

Since then: −2.9% after 9 sessions. Not rhyming at 5 sessions (actual −3.7% vs lookalikes +3.2%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
TSLA	Nov 13 25	−6.6%	Market-wide	−2.0%	-10%, RSI 47	+0.6%	−1.7%	+14.2%	+1.4%
LRCX	Nov 20 25	−6.2%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-11%, RSI 49	+2.2%	+11.8%	+23.6%	+4.6%
NVDA	Feb 27 25	−8.5%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-12%, RSI 48	+4.0%	−8.0%	−7.2%	−2.8%
NFLX	Mar 6 25	−8.5%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-6%, RSI 52	−1.7%	−1.8%	+1.2%	−6.0%
META	Apr 10 25	−6.7%	Market-wide	−4.2%	-20%, RSI 49	−0.5%	−8.2%	+8.5%	+7.6%
GS	Jul 29 26	−5.1%	Market-wide	−2.0%	-10%, RSI 45	+4.5%	+8.1%	+6.1%	+5.0%
INTC	Mar 26 26	−6.5%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-13%, RSI 55	−2.2%	+14.2%	+87.2%	+10.7%
TSLA	Jun 23 26	−5.8%	Market-wide	−3.3%	-17%, RSI 49	−1.6%	+10.2%	−2.0%	+1.9%

ASML −6.9%

Market-wideChips & AI hardware

ASML Holding

Opened −3.2% and extended the move after the open (−3.8% open to close) on 1.4× normal volume. SPY −1.2%, QQQ −2.9%. 51% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: LRCX −11.8%, AMAT −8.2%, AMD −8.1%, INTC −8.0%, DELL −6.8%. Before the move it sat −15.6% from its high, RSI 44.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 3 times and bounced 5 times (median +0.7%). 20 sessions later the median was +1.9% (62% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +3.0%.

Since then: −4.0% after 9 sessions. Rhyming at 5 sessions (actual +7.5% vs lookalikes +1.0%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20	Cause
AVGO	Feb 27 25	−7.1%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-15%, RSI 43	+0.8%	−9.3%	−12.8%	−2.8%
MU	Mar 26 26	−7.0%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-17%, RSI 42	+0.5%	+3.1%	+39.8%	+10.7%
AMD	Nov 20 25	−7.8%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-15%, RSI 44	−1.1%	+5.6%	+3.6%	+4.6%
ORCL	Mar 6 25	−6.6%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-16%, RSI 43	+2.8%	−2.2%	−9.1%	−6.0%
DELL	Jul 29 26	−5.7%	Market-wide	−2.0%	-16%, RSI 46	+9.5%	+25.2%	+25.5%	+5.0%
NVDA	Mar 3 25	−8.7%	Market-wide	−2.2%	-16%, RSI 44	+1.7%	−6.2%	−5.0%	−3.9%	Feb 26 report's gross-margin guide dipped (-8.5% Feb 27), then tariffs confirmed Mar 3.
NVDA	Apr 16 25	−6.9%	Market-wide	−3.0%	-25%, RSI 50	−2.9%	+1.9%	+29.0%	+12.3%
AVGO	Jan 20 26	−5.4%	Market-wide	−2.1%	-15%, RSI 51	−1.1%	+0.1%	+0.3%	+1.3%

DELL −6.8%

Market-wideChips & AI hardware

Dell Technologies

Opened −5.1% and extended the move after the open (−1.8% open to close) on 1.0× normal volume. SPY −1.2%, QQQ −2.9%. 51% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: LRCX −11.8%, AMAT −8.2%, AMD −8.1%, INTC −8.0%, ASML −6.9%. Before the move it sat −17.3% from its high, RSI 43.

Rose about 300% in 2026, then a Barclays downgrade on Oct 14 (-11.3%) over valuation and memory prices normalizing, then Intel's PC and memory warning on Oct 30 (-10.8%).

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 2 times and bounced 6 times (median +1.3%). 20 sessions later the median was +4.4% (62% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +3.0%.

Since then: −17.8% after 9 sessions. Rhyming at 5 sessions (actual +5.0% vs lookalikes +2.5%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20	Cause
MU	Mar 26 26	−7.0%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-17%, RSI 42	+0.5%	+3.1%	+39.8%	+10.7%
AVGO	Feb 27 25	−7.1%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-15%, RSI 43	+0.8%	−9.3%	−12.8%	−2.8%
ORCL	Mar 6 25	−6.6%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-16%, RSI 43	+2.8%	−2.2%	−9.1%	−6.0%
DELL	Jul 29 26	−5.7%	Market-wide	−2.0%	-16%, RSI 46	+9.5%	+25.2%	+25.5%	+5.0%
AMD	Nov 20 25	−7.8%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-15%, RSI 44	−1.1%	+5.6%	+3.6%	+4.6%
NVDA	Mar 3 25	−8.7%	Market-wide	−2.2%	-16%, RSI 44	+1.7%	−6.2%	−5.0%	−3.9%	Feb 26 report's gross-margin guide dipped (-8.5% Feb 27), then tariffs confirmed Mar 3.
DELL	Jan 20 26	−7.5%	Market-wide	−2.1%	-27%, RSI 40	+2.0%	+3.2%	+5.1%	+1.3%
NVDA	Apr 16 25	−6.9%	Market-wide	−3.0%	-25%, RSI 50	−2.9%	+1.9%	+29.0%	+12.3%

MU −6.3%

Market-wideChips & AI hardware

Micron Technology

Opened −3.7% and extended the move after the open (−2.6% open to close) on 1.2× normal volume. SPY −1.2%, QQQ −2.9%. 51% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: LRCX −11.8%, AMAT −8.2%, AMD −8.1%, INTC −8.0%, ASML −6.9%. Before the move it sat −24.7% from its high, RSI 40.

Memory-price momentum is peaking: DRAM price gains slowed from roughly 60% a quarter to the high teens. Up about 197% in the first half of 2026 before the July 1 chip crash.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept falling the next day 1 times and bounced 7 times (median +1.2%). 20 sessions later the median was +1.8% (50% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was −0.8%.

Since then: −7.2% after 9 sessions. Rhyming at 5 sessions (actual +9.1% vs lookalikes +3.1%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
NVDA	Mar 6 25	−5.7%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-22%, RSI 40	+1.9%	+4.5%	−7.9%	−6.0%
MU	Mar 26 26	−7.0%	Market-wide	−2.4%	-17%, RSI 42	+0.5%	+3.1%	+39.8%	+10.7%
LRCX	Feb 27 25	−6.3%	Market-wide	−2.8%	-27%, RSI 49	+0.8%	+0.7%	−1.5%	−2.8%
NVDA	Apr 16 25	−6.9%	Market-wide	−3.0%	-25%, RSI 50	−2.9%	+1.9%	+29.0%	+12.3%
DELL	Jan 20 26	−7.5%	Market-wide	−2.1%	-27%, RSI 40	+2.0%	+3.2%	+5.1%	+1.3%
AMD	Jul 29 26	−5.5%	Market-wide	−2.0%	-22%, RSI 39	+13.0%	+12.2%	+12.0%	+5.0%
AVGO	Mar 3 25	−6.0%	Market-wide	−2.2%	-20%, RSI 37	+0.1%	−1.6%	−10.4%	−3.9%
NVDA	Mar 10 25	−5.1%	Market-wide	−3.9%	-25%, RSI 38	+1.7%	+11.7%	−8.7%	−9.8%

PG +5.6%

Group moveConsumer Staples

Procter & Gamble

Opened +3.4% and extended the move after the open (+2.1% open to close) on 2.4× normal volume. SPY −1.2%, QQQ −2.9%. 47% of the other 49 moved the same way. Peers: KO +2.9%, WMT +2.8%, PM +2.2%, COST +2.0%. Before the move it sat −4.8% from its high, RSI 63.

No headlines were found for this move when it was logged.

Similar moments: In the 8 most similar moves, the stock kept rising the next day 5 times and gave some back 3 times (median +0.8%). 20 sessions later the median was +2.8% (75% of 8 higher); SPY's median over the same windows was +0.4%.

Since then: +1.7% after 9 sessions. Rhyming at 5 sessions (actual −2.4% vs lookalikes −1.4%)

The 8 closest past moves

Ticker	Date	Move	Kind	QQQ	Setup before	Next day	Next 5	Next 20	SPY 20
PG	Jan 27 25	+3.4%	Group move	−2.9%	-8%, RSI 50	−2.0%	−0.5%	+1.8%	−0.9%
LLY	Jun 26 26	+7.1%	Group move	−1.4%	-3%, RSI 60	+1.8%	−0.7%	−0.9%	+1.4%
CSCO	Nov 13 25	+4.6%	Stock-specific	−2.0%	-1%, RSI 63	+0.8%	−2.5%	+0.5%	+1.4%
INTC	Jun 22 26	+5.2%	Group move	−0.2%	0%, RSI 64	−6.1%	−6.5%	−25.2%	+0.5%
UNH	Jun 4 26	+5.2%	Group move	−0.5%	-6%, RSI 55	+0.8%	+2.3%	+6.0%	−0.5%
LRCX	Jun 2 26	+5.5%	Group move	+0.5%	-2%, RSI 65	+2.8%	−2.2%	+17.1%	−1.6%
CVX	Jan 5 26	+5.1%	Group move	+0.8%	-4%, RSI 64	−4.5%	−0.9%	+8.7%	+0.3%
KO	Jul 28 26	+5.0%	Stock-specific	−1.0%	-1%, RSI 57	+0.9%	−1.9%	+3.8%	+3.4%