- 5 days
- +7.1%
- From 52-wk high
- −42.6%
- vs 200-day
- −18.3%
- RSI 14
- 47.5
- 1 month
- −3.3%
- Next earnings
- Tue Jan 19
Daily candles, 6 months
Today vs its past
Its current slide on top of its past 15%+ slides, and what followed charts that looked like today's.
| Next N sessions up | n | 5 | 10 | 20 | Median 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own lookalikes | 3 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | −4.8% |
| 50-stock pool | 26 | 53.8% | 46.2% | 46.2% | −2.2% |
| Baseline (any day) | all | 47.7% | 44.8% | 42.3% | −2.1% |
- NFLX's 3 rally runs since Nov 2024 started from -46% to -18% below the high, RSI 23-30. Today: -43%, RSI 47.
7%+ one-day drops since Nov 2024
| Date | Drop | QQQ | Kind | Cause | Low after | Sessions to low | Back in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | −8.5% | −2.8% | −12.5% | 2 | 14 | ||
| Oct 22, 2025 | −10.1% | −1.0% | −50.1% | 255 | not yet | ||
| Apr 17, 2026 | −9.7% | +1.3% | −42.5% | 134 | not yet | ||
| Jul 17, 2026 | −7.3% | −1.5% | −9.1% | 1 | 17 |
7%+ up days and rally runs
| Date | Gain | QQQ | Setup before | Cause | Next 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | +9.7% | +1.3% | -7%, RSI 49 | +7.4% | |
| Apr 9, 2025 | +8.6% | +12.0% | -18%, RSI 38 | +21.0% | |
| Feb 27, 2026 | +13.8% | −0.3% | -37%, RSI 56 | −2.9% |
Rally runs (20%+ from a low)
| Low | High | Gain | Sessions | From high at low | RSI at low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | Jun 30, 2025 | +54.5% | 77 | −18.1% | 30 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Apr 16, 2026 | +42.1% | 43 | −43.4% | 23 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Sep 2, 2026 | +22.4% | 32 | −46.5% | 29 |
Calls on NFLX and what followed
Live = saved on the day. Backfill = the same rule re-run on past weeks with only the data known then.
| Date | Kind | Call | From high | RSI | Next 5 | Next 20 | vs SPY 20 | Worst in 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | live | Leans drop | −42.6% | 48 | – | – | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −46.4% | 31 | – | – | – | +0.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −43.1% | 37 | −5.7% | – | – | −5.9% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −43.2% | 46 | −6.6% | – | – | −12.1% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −43.4% | 44 | +0.3% | – | – | −11.8% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −46.0% | 31 | +4.8% | −7.4% | −5.6% | −7.6% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −42.7% | 37 | −5.7% | −7.4% | −6.0% | −8.6% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −42.2% | 36 | −0.9% | −1.8% | −2.0% | −6.6% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −37.6% | 48 | −7.2% | −9.2% | −11.3% | −13.4% |
| Sep 4, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −38.1% | 49 | +2.6% | −13.7% | −14.6% | −14.3% |
| Aug 28, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −35.3% | 63 | −4.2% | −15.3% | −15.0% | −15.3% |
| Aug 21, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −37.0% | 62 | +2.7% | −7.8% | −9.1% | −9.8% |
| Aug 14, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −38.1% | 62 | +1.8% | +2.8% | +4.8% | −2.8% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −41.3% | 52 | +5.4% | +5.5% | +5.9% | +0.1% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −43.2% | 45 | +3.4% | +14.0% | +11.0% | +2.3% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −44.5% | 38 | +2.3% | +13.6% | +9.9% | +0.4% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −45.9% | 31 | +1.7% | +13.4% | +8.9% | −2.0% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −42.4% | 38 | −6.0% | +1.0% | −1.4% | −7.9% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −40.1% | 47 | −5.5% | −7.6% | −8.0% | −12.9% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −44.9% | 32 | +3.0% | −4.6% | −6.0% | −8.4% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −42.2% | 28 | −4.6% | −12.6% | −12.0% | −12.6% |
| Jun 12, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −40.0% | 29 | −9.3% | −8.5% | −10.1% | −11.8% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −38.6% | 30 | −2.2% | −7.3% | −8.9% | −13.7% |
| May 29, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −35.8% | 37 | −4.5% | −14.2% | −12.4% | −17.6% |
| May 22, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −33.8% | 44 | −3.1% | −17.8% | −16.4% | −17.8% |
| May 15, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −35.0% | 37 | +1.8% | −6.1% | −8.3% | −7.7% |
| May 8, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −34.7% | 34 | −0.5% | −5.5% | −5.8% | −6.8% |
| May 1, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −31.3% | 42 | −5.0% | −6.7% | −12.0% | −7.2% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −31.0% | 41 | −0.4% | −4.2% | −8.6% | −7.6% |
| Apr 17, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −27.3% | 49 | −5.0% | −10.6% | −14.7% | −12.2% |
| Apr 10, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −23.1% | 73 | −5.5% | −15.1% | −23.6% | −15.1% |
| Apr 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −26.3% | 65 | +4.4% | −6.7% | −16.6% | −7.4% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −30.2% | 55 | +5.9% | −2.2% | −15.0% | −2.2% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −31.4% | 52 | +1.8% | +3.3% | −6.0% | −1.0% |
| Mar 13, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −28.8% | 62 | −3.7% | +8.2% | +4.4% | −4.6% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −26.1% | 74 | −3.7% | −0.1% | +1.6% | −8.2% |
| Feb 27, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −28.1% | 72 | +2.9% | −2.9% | +4.4% | −5.5% |
| Feb 20, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −41.3% | 37 | +22.3% | +16.7% | +22.4% | −3.4% |
| Feb 13, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −42.6% | 28 | −1.1% | +23.8% | +25.7% | −1.1% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −38.6% | 33 | −6.5% | +19.6% | +21.4% | −7.7% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −37.7% | 28 | −1.5% | +16.3% | +17.1% | −9.1% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −35.7% | 32 | −3.1% | −11.7% | −10.7% | −11.9% |
| Jan 16, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −34.3% | 27 | −2.6% | −12.5% | −11.2% | −13.8% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −33.2% | 27 | −1.6% | −8.9% | −8.9% | −10.6% |
| Jan 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −32.1% | 29 | −1.7% | −9.0% | −10.8% | −9.0% |
| Dec 26, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −29.5% | 36 | −3.2% | −9.4% | −10.2% | −11.6% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −29.5% | 33 | −0.3% | −9.6% | −10.3% | −9.6% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −28.9% | 32 | −0.8% | −5.1% | −7.2% | −6.1% |
| Dec 5, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −25.1% | 34 | −5.0% | −9.6% | −10.8% | −9.6% |
| Nov 28, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −19.7% | 44 | −6.8% | −12.5% | −13.4% | −13.8% |
| Nov 21, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −22.1% | 35 | +4.6% | −10.6% | −14.8% | −11.1% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −16.9% | 43 | −6.2% | −15.7% | −17.0% | −16.6% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −17.6% | 40 | +0.8% | −12.3% | −14.2% | −12.3% |