- 5 days
- +6.7%
- From 52-wk high
- −3.3%
- vs 200-day
- +19.2%
- RSI 14
- 56.8
- 1 month
- +5.9%
- Next earnings
- –
Daily candles, 6 months
Today vs its past
Its current slide on top of its past 15%+ slides, and what followed charts that looked like today's.
| Next N sessions up | n | 5 | 10 | 20 | Median 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own lookalikes | 5 | 80.0% | 100.0% | 60.0% | +1.8% |
| 50-stock pool | 194 | 51.5% | 48.5% | 53.1% | +0.4% |
| Baseline (any day) | all | 52.7% | 56.6% | 62.0% | +2.0% |
- MRK's one rally run since Nov 2024 started -43% below the high with RSI 34. Today: -3%, RSI 57.
7%+ one-day drops since Nov 2024
| Date | Drop | QQQ | Kind | Cause | Low after | Sessions to low | Back in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | −9.1% | +1.2% | −25.7% | 69 | 203 |
7%+ up days and rally runs
| Date | Gain | QQQ | Setup before | Cause | Next 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | +7.4% | +0.5% | -24%, RSI 59 | −3.9% | |
| Aug 19, 2026 | +12.6% | −0.2% | -1%, RSI 66 | −2.7% |
Rally runs (20%+ from a low)
| Low | High | Gain | Sessions | From high at low | RSI at low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2025 | Aug 25, 2026 (ongoing) | +122.3% | 321 | −43.4% | 34 |
Calls on MRK and what followed
Live = saved on the day. Backfill = the same rule re-run on past weeks with only the data known then.
| Date | Kind | Call | From high | RSI | Next 5 | Next 20 | vs SPY 20 | Worst in 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | live | No clear edge | −3.3% | 57 | – | – | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −3.9% | 57 | – | – | – | −3.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −6.6% | 50 | +2.9% | – | – | −3.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −6.2% | 52 | −0.5% | – | – | −3.7% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −6.4% | 52 | +0.2% | – | – | −3.4% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −7.2% | 47 | +0.9% | +3.6% | +5.4% | −3.3% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −4.3% | 58 | −3.0% | −2.4% | −0.9% | −6.2% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −5.6% | 57 | +1.3% | −0.6% | −0.8% | −5.0% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −8.0% | 50 | +2.6% | +1.8% | −0.4% | −2.5% |
| Sep 4, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −3.9% | 62 | −3.6% | −6.6% | −7.5% | −6.6% |
| Aug 28, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −5.2% | 63 | +1.3% | +0.8% | +1.1% | −3.0% |
| Aug 21, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | +0.0% | 78 | −2.8% | −1.4% | −2.7% | −5.7% |
| Aug 14, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 69 | +12.3% | +6.6% | +8.6% | −0.5% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −2.5% | 55 | +5.6% | +16.9% | +17.3% | +1.4% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −1.2% | 59 | −1.2% | +13.9% | +11.0% | −1.9% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 62 | −0.7% | +16.4% | +12.8% | −2.5% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −1.6% | 58 | +2.8% | +6.5% | +2.1% | −2.4% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −4.6% | 52 | +3.2% | +4.1% | +1.7% | −2.2% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | +0.0% | 67 | −4.6% | +0.5% | +0.2% | −6.8% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 71 | −1.5% | +1.6% | +0.2% | −6.1% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −6.9% | 44 | +13.0% | +9.2% | +9.9% | +1.4% |
| Jun 12, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −3.4% | 54 | −2.3% | +2.2% | +0.6% | −3.7% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −1.9% | 60 | −1.4% | +7.4% | +5.8% | −5.1% |
| May 29, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −3.6% | 57 | +1.7% | +9.8% | +11.6% | −3.4% |
| May 22, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −0.6% | 68 | −5.9% | −1.6% | −0.2% | −6.3% |
| May 15, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −9.6% | 43 | +9.9% | +3.9% | +1.8% | +1.1% |
| May 8, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −9.6% | 42 | +0.0% | +7.3% | +7.1% | −0.1% |
| May 1, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −8.9% | 43 | −0.7% | +2.7% | −2.6% | −0.8% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −9.2% | 38 | +0.2% | +9.4% | +5.0% | −2.4% |
| Apr 17, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −3.3% | 51 | −6.0% | −6.5% | −10.5% | −8.3% |
| Apr 10, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −1.4% | 58 | −1.9% | −8.3% | −16.8% | −10.1% |
| Apr 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −1.7% | 62 | +0.5% | −7.2% | −17.1% | −9.7% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −2.8% | 60 | +1.0% | −7.9% | −20.6% | −7.9% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −7.2% | 43 | +4.8% | +2.6% | −6.7% | +1.1% |
| Mar 13, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −6.7% | 45 | −0.5% | +4.7% | +0.8% | −0.5% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −6.6% | 45 | −0.2% | +5.1% | +6.9% | −0.7% |
| Feb 27, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −0.1% | 65 | −6.5% | −2.7% | +4.6% | −7.1% |
| Feb 20, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | +0.0% | 71 | +1.3% | −5.9% | −0.2% | −5.9% |
| Feb 13, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −0.4% | 70 | +2.0% | −4.2% | −2.4% | −4.8% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 78 | −0.4% | −4.0% | −2.2% | −5.0% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −0.8% | 60 | +10.6% | +10.1% | +10.9% | +2.8% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −2.6% | 55 | +1.9% | +14.5% | +15.4% | −1.2% |
| Jan 16, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −2.0% | 60 | −1.3% | +11.7% | +13.0% | −1.8% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −0.4% | 73 | −1.5% | +6.4% | +6.5% | −3.3% |
| Jan 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −0.3% | 68 | +3.8% | +6.5% | +4.7% | +0.4% |
| Dec 26, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 72 | +0.6% | +1.1% | +0.3% | −1.4% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −3.5% | 62 | +5.5% | +9.9% | +9.2% | +3.6% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −5.1% | 60 | +1.6% | +8.9% | +6.8% | −1.2% |
| Dec 5, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −5.6% | 60 | +0.6% | +10.1% | +8.9% | −2.8% |
| Nov 28, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −0.8% | 80 | −4.9% | +2.6% | +1.6% | −7.6% |
| Nov 21, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −2.3% | 75 | +4.2% | +8.0% | +3.8% | −0.9% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −7.2% | 71 | +5.2% | +8.8% | +7.5% | −0.1% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −13.8% | 53 | +7.7% | +14.7% | +12.8% | +0.5% |