- 5 days
- +1.0%
- From 52-wk high
- −5.3%
- vs 200-day
- +20.3%
- RSI 14
- 66.3
- 1 month
- +5.3%
- Next earnings
- –
Daily candles, 6 months
Today vs its past
Its current slide on top of its past 15%+ slides, and what followed charts that looked like today's.
| Next N sessions up | n | 5 | 10 | 20 | Median 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own lookalikes | 5 | 40.0% | 20.0% | 40.0% | −10.2% |
| 50-stock pool | 205 | 54.1% | 57.1% | 58.5% | +1.8% |
| Baseline (any day) | all | 51.2% | 50.8% | 48.8% | −0.4% |
- TXN's 4 rally runs since Nov 2024 started from -33% to -18% below the high, RSI 24-36. Today: -5%, RSI 66.
7%+ one-day drops since Nov 2024
| Date | Drop | QQQ | Kind | Cause | Low after | Sessions to low | Back in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025 | −7.5% | −0.6% | −10.1% | 3 | 19 | ||
| Apr 3, 2025 | −7.9% | −5.4% | −18.3% | 11 | 27 | ||
| Jul 23, 2025 | −13.3% | +0.5% | −27.5% | 85 | 131 | ||
| Jun 26, 2026 | −8.5% | −1.4% | −18.3% | 46 | 88 |
7%+ up days and rally runs
| Date | Gain | QQQ | Setup before | Cause | Next 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2025 | +16.1% | +12.0% | -33%, RSI 24 | −1.4% | |
| May 12, 2025 | +8.7% | +4.1% | -21%, RSI 60 | +8.0% | |
| Jan 6, 2026 | +8.4% | +0.9% | -19%, RSI 55 | +16.8% | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | +9.9% | +0.3% | -10%, RSI 65 | −1.0% | |
| Apr 23, 2026 | +19.4% | −0.6% | 0%, RSI 77 | +6.3% |
Rally runs (20%+ from a low)
| Low | High | Gain | Sessions | From high at low | RSI at low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | Jul 11, 2025 | +52.8% | 64 | −33.2% | 24 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Feb 11, 2026 | +48.7% | 55 | −29.6% | 33 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Jun 22, 2026 | +79.1% | 57 | −17.7% | 36 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Nov 3, 2026 (ongoing) | +24.0% | 44 | −23.4% | 36 |
Calls on TXN and what followed
Live = saved on the day. Backfill = the same rule re-run on past weeks with only the data known then.
| Date | Kind | Call | From high | RSI | Next 5 | Next 20 | vs SPY 20 | Worst in 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | live | No clear edge | −5.3% | 66 | – | – | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −8.6% | 61 | – | – | – | +0.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −13.9% | 55 | +6.2% | – | – | +4.7% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −16.4% | 48 | +3.0% | – | – | −0.1% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −14.2% | 56 | −2.6% | – | – | −2.7% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −11.1% | 70 | −3.4% | +2.9% | +4.7% | −6.0% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −15.9% | 60 | +5.7% | +2.4% | +3.9% | −0.7% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −19.3% | 51 | +4.3% | +3.7% | +3.5% | +1.5% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −18.7% | 52 | −0.8% | +5.6% | +3.5% | −3.9% |
| Sep 4, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −21.8% | 42 | +1.9% | +14.1% | +13.3% | −0.1% |
| Aug 28, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −21.8% | 38 | −0.1% | +7.6% | +7.8% | −2.0% |
| Aug 21, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −20.0% | 39 | −2.2% | +2.5% | +1.2% | −4.2% |
| Aug 14, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.4% | 48 | −5.4% | −5.8% | −3.8% | −9.4% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −13.5% | 50 | −2.3% | −9.7% | −9.3% | −11.4% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −16.6% | 42 | +3.7% | −6.2% | −9.2% | −6.2% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.9% | 42 | −0.9% | −5.0% | −8.6% | −5.0% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −14.5% | 43 | −1.6% | −1.1% | −5.5% | −4.8% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −6.3% | 55 | −8.8% | −7.7% | −10.1% | −13.2% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −11.8% | 48 | +6.3% | −5.4% | −5.7% | −7.4% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −14.1% | 45 | +6.3% | −2.1% | −3.5% | −2.1% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −0.6% | 62 | −11.6% | −12.0% | −11.4% | −12.0% |
| Jun 12, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −7.3% | 55 | +10.3% | +1.5% | −0.1% | −5.2% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −12.3% | 47 | +5.6% | +2.9% | +1.3% | −1.1% |
| May 29, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −5.9% | 61 | −6.7% | −6.6% | −4.8% | −7.7% |
| May 22, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | +0.0% | 72 | −5.2% | −1.6% | −0.2% | −8.8% |
| May 15, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −1.8% | 75 | +2.1% | +3.5% | +1.4% | −6.8% |
| May 8, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −0.6% | 76 | +5.2% | +1.1% | +0.9% | −1.0% |
| May 1, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −0.4% | 77 | +2.9% | +4.9% | −0.4% | +0.0% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −1.8% | 84 | +1.4% | +12.1% | +7.7% | −4.4% |
| Apr 17, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | +0.0% | 74 | +20.6% | +32.4% | +28.3% | +1.4% |
| Apr 10, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −5.2% | 66 | +7.0% | +34.7% | +26.2% | +0.7% |
| Apr 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −14.0% | 48 | +10.2% | +44.2% | +34.3% | +2.3% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −16.0% | 40 | +4.8% | +41.6% | +28.8% | −2.1% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −17.4% | 32 | +1.7% | +24.8% | +15.6% | −0.4% |
| Mar 13, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.8% | 33 | −1.9% | +13.6% | +9.7% | −2.3% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −14.7% | 30 | −1.3% | +3.2% | +4.9% | −3.5% |
| Feb 27, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −6.4% | 50 | −8.9% | −10.3% | −3.0% | −11.7% |
| Feb 20, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −3.0% | 60 | −3.5% | −14.8% | −9.1% | −14.8% |
| Feb 13, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −0.2% | 70 | −2.8% | −14.2% | −12.3% | −16.0% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −1.7% | 73 | +2.1% | −11.4% | −9.6% | −12.7% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −0.9% | 76 | +2.7% | −2.7% | −1.9% | −2.7% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −11.2% | 62 | +12.2% | +14.5% | +15.5% | +1.7% |
| Jan 16, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −12.0% | 63 | +2.6% | +18.6% | +19.8% | −1.0% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −12.6% | 66 | +0.7% | +15.7% | +15.7% | −0.9% |
| Jan 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −18.5% | 56 | +7.2% | +27.6% | +25.8% | −0.2% |
| Dec 26, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −18.8% | 55 | +0.2% | +11.2% | +10.4% | −1.9% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −19.0% | 55 | −0.3% | +10.3% | +9.6% | −1.6% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −17.6% | 62 | −1.7% | +5.1% | +3.0% | −3.3% |
| Dec 5, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −16.2% | 69 | −1.7% | +5.2% | +4.0% | −5.0% |
| Nov 28, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −22.7% | 57 | +8.5% | +4.4% | +3.5% | −0.1% |
| Nov 21, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −26.8% | 44 | +5.5% | +12.2% | +8.0% | +1.2% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −26.8% | 37 | +0.0% | +11.7% | +10.4% | −3.8% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −26.3% | 36 | −0.8% | +12.7% | +10.8% | −4.5% |