- 5 days
- −39.0%
- From 52-wk high
- −58.7%
- vs 200-day
- −33.1%
- RSI 14
- 22.8
- 1 month
- −48.2%
- Next earnings
- Thu Jan 28
Daily candles, 6 months
Today vs its past
Its current slide on top of its past 15%+ slides, and what followed charts that looked like today's.
| Next N sessions up | n | 5 | 10 | 20 | Median 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own lookalikes | 0 | – | – | – | – |
| 50-stock pool | 6 | 83.3% | 50.0% | 66.7% | +12.2% |
| Baseline (any day) | all | 49.6% | 53.9% | 57.9% | +3.3% |
- INTC's 10 rally runs since Nov 2024 started from -62% to -18% below the high, RSI 30-44. Today: -59%, RSI 23.
- No lookalikes in its own two-year history: today's chart is outside its range. The chart shows other large caps' lookalikes instead.
- Part of the chip unwind: see the chip-index overlay. Past major chip slides took about 190-200 sessions to bottom.
Latest shock vs similar shocks
7%+ one-day drops since Nov 2024
| Date | Drop | QQQ | Kind | Cause | Low after | Sessions to low | Back in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | −11.5% | −6.2% | −19.2% | 2 | 27 | ||
| Jul 25, 2025 | −8.5% | +0.2% | −14.7% | 5 | 15 | ||
| Dec 4, 2025 | −7.4% | −0.1% | −17.6% | 9 | 25 | ||
| Jan 23, 2026 | −17.0% | +0.3% | −24.2% | 45 | 52 | ||
| Jun 5, 2026 | −11.3% | −4.8% | −11.3% | 0 | 5 | ||
| Jul 24, 2026 | −7.9% | −1.1% | −18.3% | 3 | 8 | ||
| Oct 30, 2026 | −28.6% | −3.5% | −36.7% | 3 | not yet |
7%+ up days and rally runs
| Date | Gain | QQQ | Setup before | Cause | Next 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2024 | +7.4% | +2.7% | -53%, RSI 55 | −17.0% | |
| Jan 17, 2025 | +9.3% | +1.7% | -60%, RSI 42 | +27.5% | |
| Feb 12, 2025 | +7.2% | +0.1% | -54%, RSI 57 | +5.4% | |
| Feb 13, 2025 | +7.3% | +1.4% | -51%, RSI 66 | −0.3% | |
| Feb 18, 2025 | +16.1% | +0.2% | -48%, RSI 68 | −5.4% | |
| Mar 13, 2025 | +14.6% | −1.8% | -54%, RSI 44 | −16.1% | |
| Apr 9, 2025 | +18.8% | +12.0% | -52%, RSI 30 | −2.5% | |
| Jun 10, 2025 | +7.8% | +0.7% | -41%, RSI 49 | +7.9% | |
| Jul 8, 2025 | +7.2% | +0.1% | -37%, RSI 53 | −14.4% | |
| Aug 14, 2025 | +7.4% | −0.1% | -19%, RSI 58 | +0.9% | |
| Sep 18, 2025 | +22.8% | +0.9% | -9%, RSI 58 | +20.5% | |
| Sep 25, 2025 | +8.9% | −0.4% | 0%, RSI 73 | +12.3% | |
| Oct 1, 2025 | +7.1% | +0.5% | -5%, RSI 70 | +15.0% | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | +10.2% | +0.8% | -11%, RSI 53 | −9.6% | |
| Dec 2, 2025 | +8.6% | +0.8% | -4%, RSI 62 | −15.1% | |
| Jan 9, 2026 | +10.8% | +1.0% | -6%, RSI 61 | +10.3% | |
| Jan 13, 2026 | +7.3% | −0.1% | -3%, RSI 65 | +2.1% | |
| Jan 21, 2026 | +11.7% | +1.4% | -0%, RSI 69 | −17.8% | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | +11.0% | +0.3% | -19%, RSI 50 | −6.8% | |
| Mar 25, 2026 | +7.1% | +0.7% | -19%, RSI 46 | +41.5% | |
| Mar 31, 2026 | +7.1% | +3.4% | -24%, RSI 40 | +114.7% | |
| Apr 1, 2026 | +8.8% | +1.2% | -19%, RSI 48 | +96.7% | |
| Apr 8, 2026 | +11.4% | +3.0% | -3%, RSI 65 | +91.7% | |
| Apr 24, 2026 | +23.6% | +1.9% | -3%, RSI 70 | +45.2% | |
| Apr 29, 2026 | +12.1% | +0.6% | -1%, RSI 82 | +27.6% | |
| May 5, 2026 | +12.9% | +1.3% | -4%, RSI 80 | +4.2% | |
| May 8, 2026 | +14.0% | +2.3% | -3%, RSI 81 | −11.7% | |
| May 20, 2026 | +7.4% | +1.7% | -14%, RSI 63 | +12.6% | |
| Jun 8, 2026 | +11.2% | +1.6% | -23%, RSI 44 | −0.0% | |
| Jun 11, 2026 | +9.3% | +3.4% | -17%, RSI 50 | −11.8% | |
| Jun 18, 2026 | +10.6% | +2.5% | -6%, RSI 57 | −27.6% | |
| Jul 21, 2026 | +8.6% | +1.9% | -31%, RSI 38 | −8.3% | |
| Jul 30, 2026 | +11.3% | +3.3% | -42%, RSI 31 | +1.1% | |
| Aug 4, 2026 | +10.8% | +3.4% | -35%, RSI 41 | −11.8% | |
| Sep 8, 2026 | +9.1% | −0.1% | -32%, RSI 52 | +7.7% | |
| Sep 17, 2026 | +7.7% | +1.7% | -28%, RSI 55 | −12.3% | |
| Sep 21, 2026 | +12.1% | +2.9% | -23%, RSI 62 | −24.4% |
Rally runs (20%+ from a low)
| Low | High | Gain | Sessions | From high at low | RSI at low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | Feb 18, 2025 | +43.7% | 38 | −61.9% | 30 |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Mar 18, 2025 | +31.0% | 5 | −55.8% | 39 |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Jul 10, 2025 | +31.4% | 63 | −52.2% | 30 |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Oct 28, 2025 | +115.1% | 61 | −36.8% | 30 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Dec 3, 2025 | +30.2% | 8 | −19.0% | 38 |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Jan 22, 2026 | +50.7% | 23 | −17.6% | 42 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | May 11, 2026 | +214.3% | 29 | −24.2% | 40 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Jun 22, 2026 | +42.1% | 10 | −23.4% | 44 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Aug 13, 2026 | +27.7% | 11 | −41.9% | 31 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Sep 24, 2026 | +46.0% | 22 | −38.1% | 37 |
Calls on INTC and what followed
Live = saved on the day. Backfill = the same rule re-run on past weeks with only the data known then.
| Date | Kind | Call | From high | RSI | Next 5 | Next 20 | vs SPY 20 | Worst in 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | live | No clear edge | −58.7% | 23 | – | – | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −53.3% | 25 | – | – | – | −11.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −38.3% | 33 | −24.4% | – | – | −33.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −36.2% | 31 | −3.2% | – | – | −35.1% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −25.7% | 43 | −14.2% | – | – | −44.3% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −15.3% | 61 | −12.3% | −44.9% | −43.1% | −44.9% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −12.7% | 67 | −3.0% | −29.3% | −27.8% | −30.5% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −22.9% | 62 | +13.3% | −17.3% | −17.5% | −17.3% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −27.0% | 58 | +5.5% | +1.7% | −0.4% | −5.6% |
| Sep 4, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −32.0% | 52 | +1.5% | +21.3% | +20.4% | +1.4% |
| Aug 28, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −36.5% | 42 | +7.1% | +29.7% | +29.9% | −0.6% |
| Aug 21, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −36.1% | 40 | −0.7% | +35.2% | +33.9% | −3.1% |
| Aug 14, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −27.3% | 51 | −12.1% | −5.2% | −3.2% | −14.9% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −27.9% | 50 | +0.8% | −5.8% | −5.4% | −14.2% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −36.0% | 40 | +12.7% | −0.8% | −3.8% | −3.3% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −34.5% | 37 | −2.3% | −2.4% | −6.1% | −11.3% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −32.6% | 36 | −2.9% | +7.8% | +3.4% | −13.8% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −22.1% | 43 | −13.5% | −7.5% | −9.9% | −25.5% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −14.6% | 49 | −8.7% | −25.1% | −25.4% | −32.0% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −9.0% | 57 | −4.8% | −28.6% | −29.9% | −28.6% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | +0.0% | 64 | −4.2% | −27.6% | −26.9% | −29.1% |
| Jun 12, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −3.8% | 62 | +13.1% | −13.5% | −15.1% | −17.2% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −23.4% | 44 | +25.6% | +11.3% | +9.7% | +7.9% |
| May 29, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −11.4% | 59 | −13.5% | +14.9% | +16.7% | −13.5% |
| May 22, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −7.4% | 68 | −8.8% | +10.4% | +11.7% | −17.2% |
| May 15, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −16.0% | 62 | +10.2% | +17.6% | +15.4% | −8.8% |
| May 8, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | +0.0% | 85 | −12.9% | −11.7% | −11.9% | −20.6% |
| May 1, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | +0.0% | 88 | +25.4% | +9.7% | +4.5% | −3.9% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | +0.0% | 82 | +20.7% | +45.2% | +40.8% | +2.4% |
| Apr 17, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 78 | +20.5% | +58.8% | +54.7% | −4.7% |
| Apr 10, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 75 | +9.8% | +100.3% | +91.7% | +2.3% |
| Apr 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −7.3% | 61 | +23.8% | +97.7% | +87.9% | +0.8% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −20.6% | 44 | +17.7% | +97.1% | +84.3% | −4.5% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −19.2% | 45 | −1.7% | +49.8% | +40.5% | −6.1% |
| Mar 13, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.7% | 50 | −4.2% | +42.4% | +38.5% | −10.0% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −20.1% | 44 | +5.4% | +17.0% | +18.7% | −5.1% |
| Feb 27, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −16.0% | 49 | −4.8% | −5.4% | +1.9% | −5.5% |
| Feb 20, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −18.8% | 45 | +3.4% | −0.5% | +5.1% | −2.3% |
| Feb 13, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −13.9% | 51 | −6.8% | −2.2% | −0.3% | −7.9% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −6.9% | 60 | −7.5% | −9.9% | −8.1% | −14.8% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −14.5% | 54 | +8.9% | −2.1% | −1.3% | −6.1% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −17.0% | 52 | +3.1% | −3.2% | −2.2% | −5.7% |
| Jan 16, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −3.6% | 66 | −9.5% | −1.7% | −0.4% | −9.5% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 71 | +3.1% | +10.3% | +10.3% | −6.7% |
| Jan 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −10.0% | 58 | +15.7% | +23.9% | +22.2% | −0.0% |
| Dec 26, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −17.3% | 43 | +8.8% | +21.4% | +20.6% | +1.3% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.9% | 45 | −0.4% | +47.3% | +46.6% | −1.8% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −13.6% | 47 | −2.6% | +25.1% | +23.0% | −4.7% |
| Dec 5, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −5.4% | 60 | −8.7% | −3.3% | −4.5% | −12.9% |
| Nov 28, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −2.3% | 64 | +2.1% | −9.6% | −10.5% | −11.1% |
| Nov 21, 2025 | backfill | Leans drop | −16.9% | 42 | +16.0% | +5.4% | +1.2% | +3.7% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −14.5% | 44 | −2.9% | +5.6% | +4.3% | −5.3% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −8.2% | 54 | −6.8% | +5.7% | +3.8% | −11.8% |