- 5 days
- −6.1%
- From 52-wk high
- −20.0%
- vs 200-day
- +2.3%
- RSI 14
- 40.1
- 1 month
- −12.2%
- Next earnings
- Thu Nov 12
Daily candles, 6 months
Today vs its past
Its current slide on top of its past 15%+ slides, and what followed charts that looked like today's.
| Next N sessions up | n | 5 | 10 | 20 | Median 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own lookalikes | 1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | +17.6% |
| 50-stock pool | 105 | 58.1% | 54.3% | 61.9% | +2.3% |
| Baseline (any day) | all | 58.5% | 61.4% | 63.3% | +2.0% |
- CSCO's one rally run since Nov 2024 started -17% below the high with RSI 22. Today: -20%, RSI 40.
- Reports Nov 12. The lookalike stats ignore earnings; the report can swamp them.
- Only 1 lookalike in its own history, so the large-cap pool carries the read. That pool mixes in other stocks.
- Part of the chip unwind: see the chip-index overlay. Past major chip slides took about 190-200 sessions to bottom.
7%+ one-day drops since Nov 2024
| Date | Drop | QQQ | Kind | Cause | Low after | Sessions to low | Back in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | −12.3% | −2.0% | −12.3% | 0 | 45 | ||
| Aug 13, 2026 | −8.4% | +1.2% | −18.0% | 56 | not yet |
7%+ up days and rally runs
| Date | Gain | QQQ | Setup before | Cause | Next 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2025 | +9.3% | +12.0% | -17%, RSI 22 | +2.7% | |
| May 14, 2026 | +13.4% | +0.7% | 0%, RSI 79 | +4.8% |
Rally runs (20%+ from a low)
| Low | High | Gain | Sessions | From high at low | RSI at low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | Jun 4, 2026 | +150.0% | 290 | −17.5% | 22 |
Calls on CSCO and what followed
Live = saved on the day. Backfill = the same rule re-run on past weeks with only the data known then.
| Date | Kind | Call | From high | RSI | Next 5 | Next 20 | vs SPY 20 | Worst in 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | live | No clear edge | −20.0% | 40 | – | – | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −19.3% | 40 | – | – | – | −2.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −17.8% | 42 | −1.9% | – | – | −4.6% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −17.1% | 41 | −0.8% | – | – | −5.4% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −8.6% | 65 | −9.3% | – | – | −14.2% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −13.4% | 57 | +5.5% | −6.9% | −5.0% | −6.9% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −17.6% | 42 | +5.2% | −0.2% | +1.3% | −1.7% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −15.4% | 46 | −2.6% | −1.9% | −2.1% | −2.8% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −13.4% | 51 | −2.3% | +5.6% | +3.5% | −5.1% |
| Sep 4, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.7% | 41 | +0.8% | +3.3% | +2.5% | −2.5% |
| Aug 28, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −15.1% | 41 | −0.7% | −2.9% | −2.7% | −3.2% |
| Aug 21, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −14.3% | 42 | −1.0% | +0.4% | −0.9% | −3.2% |
| Aug 14, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −13.8% | 42 | −0.6% | −1.5% | +0.5% | −3.8% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −6.2% | 61 | −8.0% | −10.1% | −9.7% | −10.6% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −10.4% | 53 | +4.7% | −5.2% | −8.2% | −5.5% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −11.8% | 49 | +1.6% | −2.7% | −6.4% | −4.0% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −13.6% | 45 | +2.0% | −0.2% | −4.7% | −1.1% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −6.3% | 58 | −7.7% | +0.1% | −2.3% | −9.6% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −13.3% | 43 | +8.1% | +3.3% | +3.0% | −2.3% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −12.5% | 45 | +0.6% | +1.1% | −0.3% | −3.3% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −8.0% | 56 | −4.8% | −7.0% | −6.4% | −7.9% |
| Jun 12, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −6.8% | 59 | +0.4% | −2.9% | −4.6% | −7.3% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −6.4% | 63 | −0.4% | −7.8% | −9.4% | −7.8% |
| May 29, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 76 | +1.0% | −2.3% | −0.5% | −5.5% |
| May 22, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | +0.0% | 81 | +0.8% | +0.6% | +2.0% | −2.6% |
| May 15, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 88 | +1.9% | +1.7% | −0.5% | −3.3% |
| May 8, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 73 | +22.4% | +28.6% | +28.3% | +2.2% |
| May 1, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | +0.0% | 71 | +5.1% | +32.1% | +26.8% | −0.2% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −0.9% | 70 | +3.2% | +35.3% | +30.8% | −2.4% |
| Apr 17, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −0.1% | 68 | +3.2% | +37.1% | +33.0% | +0.7% |
| Apr 10, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −4.7% | 58 | +4.9% | +17.5% | +8.9% | +0.2% |
| Apr 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −8.4% | 52 | +4.0% | +16.2% | +6.4% | +1.8% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −7.9% | 52 | +1.2% | +11.0% | −1.8% | −3.6% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −10.5% | 47 | +2.9% | +13.6% | +4.3% | −0.8% |
| Mar 13, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −9.7% | 49 | −0.9% | +5.7% | +1.8% | −1.6% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −9.4% | 49 | −0.4% | +2.8% | +4.6% | −3.1% |
| Feb 27, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −8.4% | 52 | −1.0% | +0.6% | +7.9% | −4.1% |
| Feb 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −8.7% | 50 | +0.3% | −2.0% | +3.7% | −3.8% |
| Feb 13, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −11.4% | 45 | +1.2% | +2.7% | +4.5% | −0.8% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 72 | −9.4% | −10.2% | −8.4% | −11.6% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −1.9% | 61 | +8.3% | +1.4% | +2.2% | −4.2% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −6.6% | 46 | +5.0% | +4.2% | +5.2% | +0.5% |
| Jan 16, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −5.8% | 47 | +2.4% | +2.2% | +3.5% | −2.4% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −7.4% | 35 | +1.8% | +17.5% | +17.5% | −0.7% |
| Jan 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −4.7% | 46 | −2.8% | +6.0% | +4.3% | −3.5% |
| Dec 26, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −2.6% | 56 | −2.8% | +1.2% | +0.5% | −5.7% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −2.3% | 57 | −0.8% | −5.5% | −6.2% | −6.0% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −3.1% | 56 | +0.8% | −2.5% | −4.5% | −4.5% |
| Dec 5, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −0.5% | 64 | −0.2% | −3.0% | −4.2% | −3.0% |
| Nov 28, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −1.8% | 62 | +1.3% | +1.1% | +0.2% | −1.2% |
| Nov 21, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −2.9% | 60 | −0.1% | +2.6% | −1.6% | −0.1% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 73 | −2.4% | +0.3% | −1.0% | −3.3% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −4.5% | 52 | +9.8% | +11.0% | +9.1% | +0.9% |