- 5 days
- −7.5%
- From 52-wk high
- −32.2%
- vs 200-day
- −11.2%
- RSI 14
- 42.1
- 1 month
- −13.4%
- Next earnings
- Wed Dec 9
Daily candles, 6 months
Today vs its past
Its current slide on top of its past 15%+ slides, and what followed charts that looked like today's.
| Next N sessions up | n | 5 | 10 | 20 | Median 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own lookalikes | 3 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.7% | +14.7% |
| 50-stock pool | 64 | 59.4% | 53.1% | 64.1% | +3.9% |
| Baseline (any day) | all | 52.9% | 57.9% | 55.6% | +1.4% |
- AVGO's 2 rally runs since Nov 2024 started from -41% to -29% below the high, RSI 25-34. Today: -32%, RSI 42.
- Part of the chip unwind: see the chip-index overlay. Past major chip slides took about 190-200 sessions to bottom.
7%+ one-day drops since Nov 2024
| Date | Drop | QQQ | Kind | Cause | Low after | Sessions to low | Back in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2025 | −17.4% | −2.9% | −40.0% | 48 | 88 | ||
| Feb 27, 2025 | −7.1% | −2.8% | −31.1% | 26 | 52 | ||
| Apr 3, 2025 | −10.5% | −5.4% | −15.0% | 1 | 5 | ||
| Dec 12, 2025 | −11.4% | −1.9% | −27.5% | 72 | 86 | ||
| Jun 4, 2026 | −12.6% | −0.5% | −32.6% | 98 | not yet |
7%+ up days and rally runs
| Date | Gain | QQQ | Setup before | Cause | Next 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2024 | +24.4% | +0.8% | -3%, RSI 59 | +1.7% | |
| Dec 16, 2024 | +11.2% | +1.4% | 0%, RSI 79 | −8.0% | |
| Mar 7, 2025 | +8.6% | +0.7% | -28%, RSI 31 | −24.7% | |
| Apr 9, 2025 | +18.7% | +12.0% | -37%, RSI 34 | +12.2% | |
| Sep 5, 2025 | +9.4% | +0.1% | -2%, RSI 58 | +1.2% | |
| Sep 10, 2025 | +9.8% | +0.0% | -3%, RSI 68 | −6.4% | |
| Oct 13, 2025 | +9.9% | +2.1% | -12%, RSI 44 | +0.5% | |
| Nov 24, 2025 | +11.1% | +2.6% | -12%, RSI 45 | −7.4% | |
| Feb 6, 2026 | +7.2% | +2.1% | -25%, RSI 35 | +3.9% |
Rally runs (20%+ from a low)
| Low | High | Gain | Sessions | From high at low | RSI at low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | Dec 10, 2025 | +183.4% | 172 | −41.1% | 25 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Jun 2, 2026 | +64.1% | 44 | −28.7% | 34 |
Calls on AVGO and what followed
Live = saved on the day. Backfill = the same rule re-run on past weeks with only the data known then.
| Date | Kind | Call | From high | RSI | Next 5 | Next 20 | vs SPY 20 | Worst in 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | live | No clear edge | −32.2% | 42 | – | – | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −32.1% | 41 | – | – | – | −1.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −33.0% | 34 | +1.4% | – | – | +0.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −31.5% | 35 | −2.2% | – | – | −2.2% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −24.7% | 50 | −9.1% | – | – | −11.0% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −26.0% | 48 | +1.8% | −8.2% | −6.4% | −9.4% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −26.5% | 44 | +0.7% | −8.8% | −7.3% | −8.8% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −25.6% | 46 | −1.2% | −7.9% | −8.1% | −7.9% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −24.7% | 42 | −1.2% | +0.1% | −2.1% | −6.3% |
| Sep 4, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −25.6% | 38 | −3.7% | +1.5% | +0.6% | −5.2% |
| Aug 28, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −23.3% | 43 | −3.0% | −5.0% | −4.8% | −8.0% |
| Aug 21, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −23.4% | 39 | +0.1% | −1.4% | −2.7% | −7.9% |
| Aug 14, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −18.3% | 46 | −6.2% | −12.3% | −10.3% | −12.3% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −11.0% | 65 | −8.1% | −16.3% | −15.9% | −16.9% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −19.0% | 52 | +9.9% | −5.3% | −8.3% | −8.7% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −20.6% | 48 | +1.9% | −3.5% | −7.2% | −5.1% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −22.9% | 44 | +3.0% | +6.0% | +1.5% | −0.1% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −16.8% | 54 | −7.3% | +6.9% | +4.5% | −7.4% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −25.0% | 40 | +11.0% | +8.0% | +7.7% | +2.7% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −24.1% | 40 | +2.4% | +5.0% | +3.6% | −1.3% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −14.6% | 51 | −11.1% | −7.9% | −7.3% | −12.2% |
| Jun 12, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −20.7% | 41 | +2.8% | +2.0% | +0.4% | −5.5% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −19.9% | 40 | −0.9% | −3.7% | −5.4% | −6.4% |
| May 29, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 66 | −13.7% | −16.5% | −14.7% | −18.2% |
| May 22, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −5.8% | 53 | +11.1% | −8.1% | −6.7% | −10.2% |
| May 15, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −3.3% | 59 | −2.6% | −7.3% | −9.5% | −12.5% |
| May 8, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 66 | −1.1% | −7.8% | −8.0% | −10.3% |
| May 1, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −0.4% | 69 | +2.1% | +9.2% | +3.9% | −2.4% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 78 | −0.4% | −2.0% | −6.5% | −5.4% |
| Apr 17, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −1.2% | 79 | +4.0% | +4.6% | +0.5% | −1.7% |
| Apr 10, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −9.7% | 71 | +9.4% | +15.7% | +7.2% | +2.2% |
| Apr 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −23.5% | 47 | +18.1% | +33.9% | +24.0% | −0.0% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −26.9% | 37 | +4.6% | +39.1% | +26.3% | −2.4% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −24.7% | 39 | −3.0% | +29.0% | +19.7% | −5.3% |
| Mar 13, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −21.8% | 44 | −3.6% | +18.1% | +14.2% | −8.7% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −19.8% | 51 | −2.5% | −4.7% | −2.9% | −11.0% |
| Feb 27, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −22.5% | 42 | +3.4% | −5.7% | +1.6% | −5.7% |
| Feb 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −19.3% | 49 | −3.9% | −6.7% | −1.0% | −6.7% |
| Feb 13, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −21.1% | 45 | +1.6% | −0.1% | +1.8% | −3.5% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −19.2% | 49 | −2.3% | +3.9% | +5.6% | −5.7% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −19.6% | 44 | +0.5% | −3.8% | −3.0% | −7.0% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −22.4% | 37 | +3.5% | +3.2% | +4.2% | −3.7% |
| Jan 16, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −14.7% | 51 | −7.6% | −5.5% | −4.2% | −12.4% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −16.3% | 46 | +2.0% | −0.3% | −0.3% | −10.7% |
| Jan 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.7% | 45 | −0.8% | −4.7% | −6.5% | −7.9% |
| Dec 26, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −14.6% | 47 | −2.5% | −5.5% | −6.2% | −9.1% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | backfill | Leans drop | −17.6% | 41 | +2.8% | −3.2% | −3.9% | −3.2% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −12.8% | 44 | −5.4% | −1.3% | −3.4% | −9.4% |
| Dec 5, 2025 | backfill | Leans drop | −3.2% | 61 | −7.8% | −11.7% | −12.9% | −16.5% |
| Nov 28, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 68 | −3.2% | −13.1% | −14.1% | −19.1% |
| Nov 21, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −11.9% | 45 | +13.5% | +0.6% | −3.7% | −4.2% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | backfill | Leans drop | −11.3% | 45 | −0.7% | −0.8% | −2.1% | −0.8% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | backfill | Leans drop | −9.5% | 48 | −2.0% | +14.8% | +12.9% | −2.7% |